Putin is not ready to compromise. He believes in the invented successes of his army, ISW says.
The Kremlin still wants Ukraine out of four regions, no NATO, “demilitarization,” and “denazification.”
Putin’s confidence rests on disinformation from his own commanders, who inflate Russia’s gains.
Putin believes that he will occupy all of Donetsk Oblast by the end of 2026. ISW stresses that Russia cannot meet that plan. At the current pace, it would take until 2032 to occupy the whole of Donbas, if at all.