Wall St Engine(@wallstengine):Kalshi odds give Democrats a 93% chance of winning the House and 74% chance of taking the Senate. Historically, the S&P 500 has finished higher 12 months after all 19 midterm elections since 1950, averaging a gain of 15.4%. 🟢 Across elections, divided government has historically produced an average 15% gain 🟢 one year later, compared with 11.5% under one-party control. Looking specifically at the 1986, 1990 and 2006 midterms, when Democrats controlled Congress under a Republican president, the S&P 500 averaged: Next day: -0.5% After 1 month: +3.4% After 1 year: +10.9%

2026.11.03 16:45

Kalshi odds give Democrats a 93% chance of winning the House and 74% chance of taking the Senate. Historically, the S&P 500 has finished higher 12 months after all 19 midterm elections since 1950, averaging a gain of 15.4%. 🟢 Across elections, divided government has historically produced an average 15% gain 🟢 one year later, compared with 11.5% under one-party control. Looking specifically at the 1986, 1990 and 2006 midterms, when Democrats controlled Congress under a Republican president, the S&P 500 averaged: Next day: -0.5% After 1 month: +3.4% After 1 year: +10.9%