The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth time this year, though rate hikes are still expected. #Fed# #InterestRate# #RateHike# 美联储年内第四次维持利率不变 预期会有加息操作 #美联储# #利率# #加息#

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#为什么是中国# #WhyChina# The Global Logic of China's Economic Growth in the First Half of 2026: A 4.7% GDP Increase 2026年上半年GDP增长4.7%：中国经济增长的全球逻辑 According to the latest semi-annual report, China's gross domestic product (GDP) reached 69.6 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.7% at constant prices, in line with the annual growth target. Against a backdrop of intertwined international complexities and volatilities, China's economic performance is commendable. Yet, a closer look at the data reveals that the logic underpinning China's economic growth is being reshaped. (I) At the Industry Level, Notable Highlights Emerge: First, new quality productive forces are being cultivated and strengthened at an accelerated pace.** In the first half of the year, industrial production grew robustly. The value-added output of the equipment manufacturing sector increased by 9.3% year-on-year, and that of high-tech manufacturing grew by 13.3%, both outpacing the overall growth rate of industrial output above a designated scale. This underscores a clear trend toward a high-end, intelligent, green, and integrated industrial structure. Looking at specific products, the output of 3D printing equipment, lithium-ion batteries, industrial robots, and other products emblematic of new quality productive forces surged. The average daily token call volume has reached hundreds of trillions, showcasing the vitality and potential of the digital and intelligent economies. Second, new growth drivers are accelerating to take on a leading role. Preliminary estimates suggest that new growth drivers—encompassing high-end manufacturing, the digital economy, and modern services—contributed over 40% to economic growth in the first half of the year. The economy's distinct shift toward a higher quality and more optimized structure is evident, and this overall trend is accelerating. For instance, industries related to artificial intelligence, such as integrated circuit manufacturing and intelligent vehicle equipment manufacturing, have all maintained high growth rates exceeding 30%, vividly illustrating the pace of China's industrial upgrading. Third, confidence on the investment front is on the rise. In the first half of the year, investment in high-tech industries grew by 4.6% year-on-year. Notably, investment in the manufacturing of aircraft, spacecraft, and equipment, computer and office equipment manufacturing, and information services grew by 23.3%, 8.1%, and 15.5%, respectively. Investment structure best reflects market expectations. The increasing "new economy content" in investments signals an acceleration in the replacement of old growth drivers with new ones. Investment in intellectual property products grew by 9.4%, indicating that enterprises are placing greater emphasis on R&D and innovation. This suggests that technological advancement is not simply about capacity expansion but about qualitative change driven by innovation. (II) Observing a Major Economy Requires Looking Beyond the Immediate Figures to the Long-term Trajectory. Behind the "new economy content" of the semi-annual report lies China's ongoing transformation from a global manufacturing hub to a global center of innovation. At the 17th Annual Meeting of the New Champions (Summer Davos), observers noted a new phenomenon: a host of unicorn companies are heading to China. They are establishing R&D centers, regional headquarters, and deeply integrating into China's innovation and industrial chains—shifting from "produced in China" to "created in China." So, why China? Economist Justin Yifu Lin, in his book *Demystifying the Chinese Economy, touched upon the theory of the "speed of technological change." He argues that the essence of the industrial revolution is not just the application of new technologies, but more fundamentally, the ever-accelerating pace of technological change. Since the mid-18th century, starting with the steam engine reshaping the textile industry, the snowball of technological change has grown, rapidly sweeping through industries like chemicals and automobiles, ultimately redrawing the geographical map of great power competition. Looking at China today, the trajectory of accelerating technological change is equally clear. A leading enterprise can drive an entire industry, which in turn can boost a whole region. These burgeoning industrial clusters, growing from saplings to forests, not only enhance production efficiency and invigorate market vitality but also effectively improve development quality and resilience. For example, specialized and sophisticated "little giant" enterprises above a designated scale in Beijing, through deep cultivation of innovation chains, supply chain collaboration, and international expansion, have become "connecting points" and "accelerators" for the dual circulation strategy. More importantly, emerging industrial clusters possess powerful spillover effects. The rapid rise of new energy vehicles is not only reshaping the automotive industry but also driving transformations in chips, software, and energy networks, allowing more sectors to gain value from efficiency improvements. The swift advancements in AI and biomedicine are sparking a "gentle qualitative change" in people's livelihoods, significantly enhancing the sense of fulfillment and well-being through smarter, more affordable products and more livable environments. (III) Looking from the First Half to the Full Year, China's Development Momentum Remains Positive. Of course, during this critical period of transitioning between old and new growth drivers, China's economy still faces lingering issues and new challenges. Some core areas are still grappling with "bottleneck" technologies, certain high-tech industries face external risks of "decoupling" and supply chain disruptions, and "involution"-style competition affects the new energy market ecosystem. However, most of these are issues arising from development and transition, and they can be addressed with effort. The supporting conditions and fundamental trends for long-term economic improvement remain unchanged. China's economic journey toward a newer, higher-quality model is itself a process of encountering new problems and solving them along the way. By maintaining confidence, proceeding steadily, and balancing both qualitative improvements and quantitative growth, China's industries are poised to be brimming with dynamism, and the Chinese economy will continue to advance steadily and sustainably. #China# #Jiangxi# #JiangxiEconomy# #世界经济看中国# #赣出新精彩#

据 Unchained 报道，Kalshi 机构负责人 Andy Ross 在播客节目中透露，Kalshi 已于周一向监管机构提交申请，拟上线外汇（FX）与利率永续期货合约。此前，美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）曾于 5 月底批准 Kalshi 推出比特币永续合约（全美首个本土受监管永续合约），随后其相继推进以太坊、XRP、贵金属及美股大盘指数等永续合约的备案。Andy Ross 指出，依托受监管框架，Kalshi 将对杠杆上限进行严格约束以防范散户爆仓风险，并让散户与机构均可参与订单簿交易。

据 Unchained 报道，以太坊基金会联合执行董事兼董事会成员 Hsiao-Wei Wang 已辞任，并于周四生效。报道称，此前另一名联合执行董事 Tomasz Stańczak 也已辞任，意味着以太坊基金会两名联合执行董事均已离开；过去五个月内，该基金会已有至少 8 名高级成员离职。外界担忧基金会领导层的过度流失可能会对其未来的治理产生影响。

Bankless 联合创始人回应为何抛售所有 ETH Bankless 联合创始人 David Hoffman @TrustlessState 在 5 月 29 日接受 Unchained 频道采访时回应为何卖出所有 ETH。他表示，这并不是因为看空以太坊，也不想被贴上“叛逃者”标签，而是出于资本机会成本考虑，认为其他地方有更好的机会。 Hoffman 称，Bankless 曾围绕 “ETH 是货币” 这一论点建立，但如今 ETH 很难再被重新估值；在他看来，以太坊缺乏足够强的协调和执行力，难以重新获得独有发展势头。 来源：Unchained

Arthur Hayes：Strategy 的模式可能正在失去意义 2026 年 8 月 22 日，BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes 在访谈中表示，比特币价格增速放缓使其二阶导数为负，Strategy 的金融工程模式随之崩塌。创始人迈克尔·塞勒正面临增发、抛售 BTC 或停发股息的抉择。他强调 MSTR 已失去影响力且不再具备溢价理由，投资者若想在股市获取 BTC 敞口，直接购买 ETF（如 IBIT）才是理性选择，切勿购买依赖单人绝对控制的 MSTR。溢价一旦消失，其玩法将彻底失效。 来源：Unchained

Arthur Hayes：BitMEX 为何选择结束运营？ 2026 年 8 月 22 日，BitMEX 联合创始人 @CryptoHayes 在访谈中表示，BitMEX 结束运营并非因为黑客攻击或监管压力，而是团队主动做出的决定。他透露，三位创始人经过讨论后发现，公司已经不再盈利，反而持续消耗资金，因此决定停止运营。Arthur Hayes 表示，BitMEX 在 13 年间所有权始终未发生变化，最终由董事会一致决定结束业务，团队是在自主选择下离开。 来源：Unchained