上周，链上预测市场费用第二次单周超过 1,200 万美元 Polymarket International + US 合计占 94.6% 的链上费用份额 - Polymarket International 达 892 万美元 - Polymaret US 达 254 万美元，创下周新高

Polymarket US 交易量增长蛮快，周度和月度增速均超过 40% 以过去 7 天平均 Taker 交易量计算，Polymarket US 已占预测市场接近 5% 的市场份额，位列第三 Polymarket US、Opinion、Predict Fun 和 Limitless 形成了预测市场腰部竞争集团，各自均占 2.5% - 5% 的市场份额

VeloNews:CME AND NYSE ARE PUSHING THE US TO REGULATE HYPERLIQUID, DUE TO CONCERNS ABOUT MARKET MANIPULATION AND SANCTIONS EVASION Source: Bloomberg VeloNews:由于担心市场操纵和规避制裁，芝加哥商品交易所（CME）和纽约证券交易所（NYSE）正在敦促美国对超流动性证券进行监管。 ———————————— 2026-05-15 20:44:44

欢迎 Mark Wetjen 加入，出任 Backpack US President🥹🇺🇸 前 CFTC 委员/代理主席（美国衍生品监管那条线的顶层），也做过 DTCC 这种金融基础设施体系里的核心岗位，还在 FTX US 负责过政策与监管战略这条华盛顿线。 Backpack 在美国这盘棋上，终于把最关键的一块拼图放上去了：合规路径、监管沟通、市场结构稳步进行中。 Backpack 的方向够清晰、够坚持，才会吸引这样同圈层、懂规则的人加入，我们认真想在美国做出一个受监管的链上金融基础设施——如果未来能把合规衍生品/合约这条最难的线走通，做到第一批甚至第一家在美国框架里跑起来的 CEX ，那就不只是一条新闻了。 欢迎 Mark，也恭喜我们的小背包👀🚀

@lanhubiji 修复了哈哈，之前不小心把 US 多算了一遍 Artemis 是只追踪 Polymarket International 的 Polymarket International + US 在 4 月的费用大概是 $37.7m

1996年迈克尔·杰克逊拍摄《They Don't Care About Us》巴西版MV时，巴西政府因担心暴露贫民窟贫困形象（并影响申办奥运）试图阻止或无法保证安全 导演Spike Lee确认他们联系了当地毒枭Marcinio VP（MJ粉丝），对方免费提供保护，保证拍摄安全无事，居民也热情参与 但是警察还是来了，说保护民众。

过去 2 小时跟踪了全网 435 条新闻消息，筛出 5 条值得关注的核心信号。美国 4 月 CPI 飙升至 3.8% 创三年新高，配合霍尔木兹海峡 10 亿桶的实物缺口，二次通胀已从预期变为物理现实。 1/ US CPI hits 3-year high as energy costs explode. Headline 4.0% data shows 3.8% YoY growth with energy inflation surging to 17.9%. Fed's Goolsbee calls the report 'worse than expected' as core services hit 0.45% monthly, effectively killing H1 rate cut hopes. $TSM $NVDA 2/ Global oil deficit reaches 1 billion barrels. ADNOC CEO warns the Hormuz blockade has created a massive physical supply gap that compounds daily. With WTI breaking $101 and Brent at $107, the market is finally pricing the structural failure of global energy transit. $CVX $XOM 3/ CME to launch AI compute futures. The world's largest derivatives exchange is partnering with Silicon Data to commoditize GPU rental rates. This shift turns AI compute from a capital expense into a hedgeable financial asset, validating the 'compute as the new oil' paradigm. $NVDA $AVGO 4/ Cerebras IPO at $5.5B valuation triggers OpenAI windfall. The chipmaker's listing could net OpenAI over $5B for its 11% stake as it seeks to diversify hardware supply. This establishes a clear valuation floor for custom AI silicon outside the NVIDIA monopoly. $MSFT $NVDA 5/ Treasury Secretary Bessent backs Bank of Japan's path. Meeting with PM Ishiba, Bessent signaled 'full confidence' in Governor Ueda and acknowledged that fundamentals will stabilize the Yen. This reduces the tail risk of a chaotic, uncoordinated global carry trade unwinding. $SONY $TM That's the signal from this window. With CPI and energy both breaking higher, is the Fed's 2% target officially dead? Repost if you're watching the same tape.