Mark Moss(@1MarkMoss):What would it take to "grow our way out" of $40 trillion in debt? How much growth would we actually need? Using CBO’s February baseline, debt held by the public is about 101% of GDP today. By 2036, they project it at about 120%. So if debt still grew along that projected path, but you wanted debt-to-GDP to simply stop getting worse... nominal GDP would need to grow almost 6% per year "For A Decade" And if inflation eventually settles around 2%, you’re talking roughly 3.5 to 4% real growth. The problem is... the CBO is projecting about 1.8%.

2026.09.19 13:23

What would it take to "grow our way out" of $40 trillion in debt? How much growth would we actually need? Using CBO’s February baseline, debt held by the public is about 101% of GDP today. By 2036, they project it at about 120%. So if debt still grew along that projected path, but you wanted debt-to-GDP to simply stop getting worse... nominal GDP would need to grow almost 6% per year "For A Decade" And if inflation eventually settles around 2%, you’re talking roughly 3.5 to 4% real growth. The problem is... the CBO is projecting about 1.8%.

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