Chris Ciovacco
@CiovaccoCapital
Founder & CEO Ciovacco Capital Management. Georgia Tech.
加入 March 2011
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25 bp hike as market expected.
Fed funds futures are generally very reliable this close to an FOMC meeting. A 2026 study found FedWatch was 88% accurate even 30 days out, with accuracy improving as meetings approached. With a 25-bp hike now priced near 87%, a hold Wednesday would be a significant surprise.
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