Intel股價漲...是因為中國準備開戰台灣?
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北地證券的這份報告也挺有意思的,因為這是我見過的第一個華爾街分析師認為「台灣未來幾年很可能被中國入侵而上調 Intel 的評級」
「我們認為,台灣與中國統一不是會不會發生的問題,而是何時發生的問題。中國統一台灣可能在未來18個月內發生。伊朗戰爭為中國封鎖台灣創造了機會;1月28日的總統大選也是一個潛在的催化劑。我們預期英特爾在這種情況下將跑贏大盤。 」
我認為未來24-36個月,我們將進入一個對台灣風險極高的時期。當然,除了英特爾之外,其他股票都會暴跌,而英特爾和其他一些股票將會飆升。這並不是單純持有英特爾股票的理由,但它實際上可以作為一種投資組合對沖手段。
This note from Northland was also kinda funny because it's the first wallstreet analyst I've seen upgrade Intel on a belief that Taiwan will likely be blockaded or invaded in the next few years lol.
"In our view, it is not an if; it is a when, reuniting with China. China’s reunification of Taiwan could happen within the next 18 months. The war in Iran has created a window of opportunity for a Chinese blockade of Taiwan; the presidential election on 1/28 is also a potential catalyst. We expect INTC
will outperform in this eventuality."
I think we entering an acute period of risk towards Taiwan for next 24-36 months. Of course everything would crash except for Intel, which along with a few other stocks would soar. Not a reason to purely own Intel, but its effectively a portfolio hedge.
$INTC
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