Ben Goertzel told me two years. Emad Mostaque puts a sharper number on it: 800 days.
@EMostaque built Stable Diffusion: he put AI image generation in the hands of millions. Now he's warning about what he helped start:
"In crypto it's not your keys, not your crypto. And with AI, it's not your models, not your mind."
His argument goes further than jobs. Within a couple of years, he says, the value of human cognitive labor goes to zero. And while that happens, governments move in with licenses, KYC and surveillance to control who gets access to the most powerful models. The people who own their own AI stay sovereign. Everyone else rents their mind from a platform.
We cover:
- The 800-day timeline, and why most people aren't ready
- Why you'll soon need a license just to use frontier AI
- Why an open-source model you run yourself is the only real form of sovereignty
- Digital feudalism: what happens if five companies own all the intelligence
- Why owning your models could become as important as owning your Bitcoin keys
Thanks for
@OKX for being our sponsor of this episode.
Timestamps:
00:00 - The 800-Day Countdown
03:16 - What AI Breaks First
06:01 - Not Your Models, Not Your Mind
16:53 - The License You'll Need To Use AI
24:05 - The Ethics Nobody Agrees On
27:30 - The Jobs That Don't Survive
32:33 - When Cognitive Labor Goes To Zero
39:47 - Investing In A World That Thinks
51:44 - Escaping Digital Feudalism
55:41 - What To Do Differently Tomorrow
@StabilityAI @ii_posts