*Walter Bloomberg(@DeItaone):CPI SET TO DECIDE NEXT WEEK’S FED HIKE Markets currently price a 61% chance of a 25-bp Fed hike on September 16, versus 39% for a hold, according to Kalshi. With consensus expecting 0.2% core and 0.4% headline CPI M/M, Friday’s inflation print could sharply swing those odds. The 10-year Treasury yield near 4.95% adds to the stakes, putting the critical 5% level within reach.

2026.09.11 11:57

CPI SET TO DECIDE NEXT WEEK’S FED HIKE Markets currently price a 61% chance of a 25-bp Fed hike on September 16, versus 39% for a hold, according to Kalshi. With consensus expecting 0.2% core and 0.4% headline CPI M/M, Friday’s inflation print could sharply swing those odds. The 10-year Treasury yield near 4.95% adds to the stakes, putting the critical 5% level within reach.

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