China's economy just confirmed what the data has been warning for months.
Retail sales. Worst month since the lockdowns. Fixed asset investment crashing. Housing prices falling for the 12th straight month.
Ugly in every direction.
But here's what nobody's talking about.
Two months ago, China quietly revised retail sales numbers. The alarming downturn — gone. Just like that.
Those revisions just got reversed. The downturn is back. April made it worse.
The question isn't how bad is China's economy. The question is who were those revisions for.
The timing was convenient. They appeared right as Party officials were projecting confidence at the National People's Congress. Defending growth targets that already looked unrealistic.
Now the real data is catching up.
Property bust still busting. Banking crisis picking up speed. Households won't borrow. Corporations won't act.
China was fragile before the energy shock even started.
The data just confirmed it.
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