注册并分享邀请链接,可获得视频播放与邀请奖励。

MTS
@MTSlive
Chronicling the singularity
加入 March 2026
1.2K 正在关注    406K 粉丝
FutureSearch co-founder @dschwarz26 argues AI is now competitive with the very best teams of human forecasters and it's already hard to justify using humans for anything: "Right now, we're at some crossover point. There's been some writings by myself, other AI forecasters, by Scott Alexander, about exactly where we are." "We're at the point now where AI is at least competitive with the very best teams of forecasters, prediction markets. AI has obviously a bunch of other advantages. It can do conditional forecasting, decision forecasting. It can forecast things that are private for you. There's a lot of advantages to a purely AI system compared to humans." "Even today, it's hard to justify using humans to forecast anything, and this is only accelerating."
显示更多