Humanoid robots will become one of the biggest industrial markets of the next decade.
The chart estimates that the global humanoid robot TAM could grow from approximately $613 million in 2025 to $138 billion by 2035.
That would represent an extraordinary expansion as robots move from prototypes and pilot programs into factories, warehouses, logistics centers, and other commercial environments.
The forecast also shows annual shipments increasing from approximately 14,700 robots in 2025 to nearly 6.5 million robots by 2035.
The economics could also become increasingly attractive as production scales and manufacturing improves.
The chart estimates that the average selling price could decline from approximately $41,800 in 2025 to about $21,300 by 2035.
At the same time, the bill of materials could fall from approximately $27,700 to roughly $13,500, creating more room for manufacturers and suppliers to earn attractive margins.
This cost reduction is important because robots do not need to replace every human worker to create demand.
They only need to become economically competitive in industries facing labor shortages, rising wages, unsafe working conditions, or high employee turnover.
Here is how you can benefit from all of this.
The supply chain could be one of the largest beneficiaries because every humanoid robot requires processors, memory, cameras, LiDAR, sensors, actuators, precision gears, batteries and power management components.
NVIDIA, Intel, and Qualcomm could benefit from supplying the computing hardware, while companies such as Harmonic Drive, Nidec, Regal Rexnord, Hyundai Mobis, and Inovance could benefit from supplying motors, actuators, and motion control systems.
CATL, LG Energy Solution, Samsung SDI, SK On, and Panasonic could benefit from the battery demand created by large robot fleets.
Companies such as Sony, Murata, Novanta, Hesai, RoboSense, Ouster, and LG Innotek could benefit from supplying cameras, sensors, LiDAR, and other perception technologies.
The opportunity will extend beyond the initial sale because humanoid robots will require software updates, replacement parts, maintenance, fleet management, charging infrastructure, and ongoing artificial intelligence services.
Goldman Sachs previously estimated a $38 billion humanoid robot market by 2035, while Morgan Stanley has projected that the broader humanoid economy could eventually reach approximately $5 trillion by 2050.
The near term opportunity is likely to come from industrial automation, but the long term opportunity could expand into healthcare, retail, construction, hospitality, and household applications.
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