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Raoul Pal
@RaoulGMI
Founder/CEO Global Macro Investor, @RealVision. Figuring things out at the nexus of Macro, Web3 & the Exponential Age. Not a guru.
加入 April 2014
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GDP as we know it will be obsolete by 2030. I don't make calls like this lightly, but the way we've measured economies is about to stop working because the equation itself is changing. You've heard me talk about the magic formula. It comes down to how many people are working, what they're producing, and what they can borrow on top of that. That's the whole story of the economy right there. But look at what's coming into the equation. Humans are still a big chunk of it but now you've got robots, AI, energy density, and compute efficiency all piled on top. Each one is heading straight up the exponential curve and none of them fit inside the old measure. By the time you're reading GDP numbers in 2030, they'll be measuring the wrong economy. This is the Economic Singularity, and it’s coming sooner than most people are ready for. It isn't some far off sci-fi moment… It's something we'll live through inside the next five years.
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