Benjamin Cowen(@benjamincowen):Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation In this video we talk about Bitcoin nearing the 200D SMA. In 2018/2022, the 200D SMA was the local high. In 2014/2019, BTC went slightly above. In 2014/2018/2022, the lower high occurred around the 0.382 Fib retracement, which is around $85k. But in 2018 and 2022 that corresponded to the 200D SMA. Tough market to get right, but my guess is that a lower high is eventually formed and then BTC forms a major low in October 2026.

Benjamin Cowen

@benjamincowen

Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs

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Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen

2026.05.14 20:00

Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation In this video we talk about Bitcoin nearing the 200D SMA. In 2018/2022, the 200D SMA was the local high. In 2014/2019, BTC went slightly above. In 2014/2018/2022, the lower high occurred around the 0.382 Fib retracement, which is around $85k. But in 2018 and 2022 that corresponded to the 200D SMA. Tough market to get right, but my guess is that a lower high is eventually formed and then BTC forms a major low in October 2026.

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