AI 三巨头路线图撞车,GPT-6 最快本月就来
刚看到一个可信度不错的行业 scoop,提炼几条关键信息:
OpenAI
- GPT-5.6 是 5.x 最后一版,告一段落
- GPT-6 要提前来了,最快本月内
- 关键是换了一个全新的大规模预训练基座(不是之前那个 4T 的),内部信心很足,号称能跟 Anthropic 正面对抗
Anthropic
- Fable 5.1 已到后期,几周内发布
- 窗口跟 GPT-6 直接撞上——这两家要正面干一场
DeepSeek
- V4 正式版即将上线,预期持平或超 GLM-5.2
- 同时已经在搞更大的模型,准备对标 2.7T 的 MiniMax Pro
⚠️ 以上信息源自行业 leak,非官方公告,但消息出来后 Polymarket 赔率都有波动,不是空穴来风。
🚨 SCOOP(s):
- GPT-5.6 will be the final model in the 5.x series. GPT-6 is slated to launch in about a month, earlier than expected, and possibly even later this month
- GPT-6 will be based on a new, significantly larger pretrain (versus the ~4T 5.5/5.6 'Spud' base)
- There is lots of excitement at OpenAI over this new base, which they believe will be much better able to compete with both Fable 5 and upcoming 5.1, targeting a similar release window. OpenAI initially intended to continue with Spud through GPT-6, but decided against it
- On the topic of Fable 5.1, it is in the late stages of the pipeline at Anthropic and a release is expected "in the coming weeks"
- On the other side of the globe, DeepSeek are preparing for an imminent launch of V4 GA, which seems likely to be on par with or better than GLM-5.2, and have begun work on a new, larger model that will compete with the upcoming 2.7T MiniMax Pro
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