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Iridium 2026 二季度财报 $IRDM $RKLB 首先,公司从本季度起不再举行电话会议,主要是因为被RKLB收购了。 二季度营收2.25亿,符合预期,相较于去年同期增长4%。净利润970万,远低于去年同期的2200万,公司说净利的下跌主要原因是“transaction costs”交易成本的增加,于是我去看了SEC文件,发现了公司的说明:这部分费用就是和RKLB的收购相关的。 Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by $22.4 million, or 50%, for the three months ended June 30, 2026, compared to the prior year period, primarily due to increases in transaction costs totaling $14.3 million, associated with the Merger Agreement with Rocket Lab and the Aireon acquisition. The increase was also due to professional fees, including stock appreciation rights expense in the current year resulting from changes in our stock valuation, including the effect of the announcement of the Merger Agreement with Rocket Lab, between the years.
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@aleabitoreddit 还是太牛了,一个纯血传奇的前Reddit WSB交易员,绑定推特创作者收益才发过两次工资,两次工资就已经有8014美金了。。。。。。 现在在推特上面美股内容最具有影响力的人之一了,这可能跟她以前干的事情有关,她以前是RISC-V基金会成员和人工智能研究科学家之一, 现在的她已经转型为人工智能和半导体供应链中“未知瓶颈”的敏锐猎手了,她的内容很有参考价值, 而且最牛的是她今年的战绩!可以说截至目前她投资的回报率约为+3,840%至+4,500%左右, 再看看前两年累计的回报率是+22,560%,这已经是超过了226倍!!! 我看她经常公开预测$AXTI,$SOI和$AAOI等等这些股票,并且基本都实现了10倍以上的涨幅,被彭博社和路透社引用她写的内容都已经成为常态了。 @aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit is truly amazing. A former Reddit WSB trader with pure-blooded legendary status, she's only received two paychecks from her Twitter creator earnings, and those two paychecks already totaled $8,014... She's now one of the most influential people on Twitter regarding US stocks. This is likely related to her past work; she was a member of the RISC-V Foundation and an AI research scientist. Now, she's transformed into a keen hunter of "unknown bottlenecks" in the AI ​​and semiconductor supply chains. Her content is highly valuable. And what's most impressive is her performance this year! It's estimated that her investment return rate so far is approximately +3,840% to +4,500%. Consider the cumulative return rate over the previous two years: +22,560%—that's over 226 times! I've noticed that she frequently makes public predictions about stocks like $AXTI, $SOI, and $AAOI, and these predictions have generally yielded gains of over 10 times. It's become commonplace for Bloomberg and Reuters to cite her writings
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20 本系列矩阵化运营 单本 2.99-4.99 美元 月被动 2 万美元 海外 Brko 用 Gemini 一次出 13 页绘本月入 1 万美元。 中文创作者最尴尬的不是技术。 是「不知道海外亚马逊的 SEO 词怎么挖」。 「bedtime story for 3 year olds with anxiety」就是产品。 你以为只是个长尾词? 英文不是壁垒。 你愿不愿意每周扒 20 个 BSR 类目挑词?
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#为什么是中国# #WhyChina# The Global Logic of China's Economic Growth in the First Half of 2026: A 4.7% GDP Increase 2026年上半年GDP增长4.7%:中国经济增长的全球逻辑 According to the latest semi-annual report, China's gross domestic product (GDP) reached 69.6 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.7% at constant prices, in line with the annual growth target. Against a backdrop of intertwined international complexities and volatilities, China's economic performance is commendable. Yet, a closer look at the data reveals that the logic underpinning China's economic growth is being reshaped. (I) At the Industry Level, Notable Highlights Emerge: First, new quality productive forces are being cultivated and strengthened at an accelerated pace.** In the first half of the year, industrial production grew robustly. The value-added output of the equipment manufacturing sector increased by 9.3% year-on-year, and that of high-tech manufacturing grew by 13.3%, both outpacing the overall growth rate of industrial output above a designated scale. This underscores a clear trend toward a high-end, intelligent, green, and integrated industrial structure. Looking at specific products, the output of 3D printing equipment, lithium-ion batteries, industrial robots, and other products emblematic of new quality productive forces surged. The average daily token call volume has reached hundreds of trillions, showcasing the vitality and potential of the digital and intelligent economies. Second, new growth drivers are accelerating to take on a leading role. Preliminary estimates suggest that new growth drivers—encompassing high-end manufacturing, the digital economy, and modern services—contributed over 40% to economic growth in the first half of the year. The economy's distinct shift toward a higher quality and more optimized structure is evident, and this overall trend is accelerating. For instance, industries related to artificial intelligence, such as integrated circuit manufacturing and intelligent vehicle equipment manufacturing, have all maintained high growth rates exceeding 30%, vividly illustrating the pace of China's industrial upgrading. Third, confidence on the investment front is on the rise. In the first half of the year, investment in high-tech industries grew by 4.6% year-on-year. Notably, investment in the manufacturing of aircraft, spacecraft, and equipment, computer and office equipment manufacturing, and information services grew by 23.3%, 8.1%, and 15.5%, respectively. Investment structure best reflects market expectations. The increasing "new economy content" in investments signals an acceleration in the replacement of old growth drivers with new ones. Investment in intellectual property products grew by 9.4%, indicating that enterprises are placing greater emphasis on R&D and innovation. This suggests that technological advancement is not simply about capacity expansion but about qualitative change driven by innovation. (II) Observing a Major Economy Requires Looking Beyond the Immediate Figures to the Long-term Trajectory. Behind the "new economy content" of the semi-annual report lies China's ongoing transformation from a global manufacturing hub to a global center of innovation. At the 17th Annual Meeting of the New Champions (Summer Davos), observers noted a new phenomenon: a host of unicorn companies are heading to China. They are establishing R&D centers, regional headquarters, and deeply integrating into China's innovation and industrial chains—shifting from "produced in China" to "created in China." So, why China? Economist Justin Yifu Lin, in his book *Demystifying the Chinese Economy, touched upon the theory of the "speed of technological change." He argues that the essence of the industrial revolution is not just the application of new technologies, but more fundamentally, the ever-accelerating pace of technological change. Since the mid-18th century, starting with the steam engine reshaping the textile industry, the snowball of technological change has grown, rapidly sweeping through industries like chemicals and automobiles, ultimately redrawing the geographical map of great power competition. Looking at China today, the trajectory of accelerating technological change is equally clear. A leading enterprise can drive an entire industry, which in turn can boost a whole region. These burgeoning industrial clusters, growing from saplings to forests, not only enhance production efficiency and invigorate market vitality but also effectively improve development quality and resilience. For example, specialized and sophisticated "little giant" enterprises above a designated scale in Beijing, through deep cultivation of innovation chains, supply chain collaboration, and international expansion, have become "connecting points" and "accelerators" for the dual circulation strategy. More importantly, emerging industrial clusters possess powerful spillover effects. The rapid rise of new energy vehicles is not only reshaping the automotive industry but also driving transformations in chips, software, and energy networks, allowing more sectors to gain value from efficiency improvements. The swift advancements in AI and biomedicine are sparking a "gentle qualitative change" in people's livelihoods, significantly enhancing the sense of fulfillment and well-being through smarter, more affordable products and more livable environments. (III) Looking from the First Half to the Full Year, China's Development Momentum Remains Positive. Of course, during this critical period of transitioning between old and new growth drivers, China's economy still faces lingering issues and new challenges. Some core areas are still grappling with "bottleneck" technologies, certain high-tech industries face external risks of "decoupling" and supply chain disruptions, and "involution"-style competition affects the new energy market ecosystem. However, most of these are issues arising from development and transition, and they can be addressed with effort. The supporting conditions and fundamental trends for long-term economic improvement remain unchanged. China's economic journey toward a newer, higher-quality model is itself a process of encountering new problems and solving them along the way. By maintaining confidence, proceeding steadily, and balancing both qualitative improvements and quantitative growth, China's industries are poised to be brimming with dynamism, and the Chinese economy will continue to advance steadily and sustainably. #China# #Jiangxi# #JiangxiEconomy# #世界经济看中国# #赣出新精彩#
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宝宝们晚上好! 🎉马上要2024年了!汇汇也在新的一年开启了新的业务,我将会在1月1号开通会员制,每月提供3套自拍写真集,不同的档位可以获得不同的内容,希望有能力的宝宝们来支持我😍 🎁同时为了感谢未来每个月支持我的宝宝,将会为订阅2-3档的宝宝额外赠送小礼物(Leohex的油光泳装写真) Good evening everyone! 🎉 It's going to be 2024 soon! I'm also opening a new feature in the new year, I'll be opening a membership on the 1st of January, offering 3 sets of selfie photobooks per month, with different content available for different slots, so I hope babies who can afford it will come and support me! 🎁 Also as a thank you to the babies who will support me every month in the future, there will be an extra little gift for babies who subscribe to 2-3 slots (Leohex's oiled swimsuit photoshoot)
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【 SNDK Investor Day信息梳理】 在 In Focus 2026 活动上,SanDisk 公布了一套覆盖 FY2028 至 FY2030 的多年财务框架。公司预计: 营收实现中双位数至高双位数增长(mid-to-high teens,大约 15%–19%),与 bit 出货量增长基本一致; Non-GAAP 毛利率维持在约 80%; Non-GAAP 营业利润率维持在约 75%; 在考虑税收、资本开支以及支持增长所需要的营运资本之后,调整后自由现金流率预计约为 50%。 SanDisk CFO Luis Visoso 表示:在完成业务所需要的投资之后,我们预计将把 100% 的 excess cash(超额现金)返还给股东。 这里面有几个非常重要的信息。 第一,80% GM 最重要的不是数字高,而是“Sustain”。这是整段话最值得注意的地方:“gross margins to sustain at approximately 80 percent”不是“peak at 80%”,也不是某一个季度达到 80%,而是管理层认为 FY28–FY30 这三年可以把 Non-GAAP GM 大致维持在 80%。 这对于 NAND 公司来说非常激进。传统 NAND 模型是: 供不应求 → ASP暴涨 → GM暴涨 → 厂商扩产 → 供给增加 → ASP下跌 → GM collapse。 而 SNDK 今天实际上是在告诉投资者:不要再按照传统 NAND 周期股的方法预测我们的 FY28–30 盈利。 第二,收入增长 mid-to-high teens,而且这个假设基本只依赖 bit growth。这句话也非常关键:“revenue to grow mid-to-high teens, consistent with bit growth”也就是说,管理层的长期模型大致假设:Bit growth ≈ 15%–19%,Revenue growth ≈ 15%–19%,这隐含的 ASP 假设接近稳定。 准确地说应该是:如果这个模型已经主要依靠 bit growth,而未来 NAND pricing 比模型假设更强,那么 Revenue 就存在进一步 upside。 这比依靠 ASP 每年上涨 15%–20%才能实现增长的模型质量高很多。 第三,这个 Revenue outlook 相对于 Street 的差异可能比 80% GM 更重要。FY28–FY30 Revenue CAGR ≈ 15%–19%。也就是说,Street 原来可能是在建模:FY27 = cycle peak,而 SNDK 管理层现在告诉市场:FY27不是 peak,FY28–FY30还要继续保持 mid-to-high teens growth。 如果管理层这个模型可信,真正需要发生的就是 FY28、FY29、FY30 revenue/EPS/FCF estimates 系统性上修。 第四,75% Operating Margin 意味着极其恐怖的 operating leverage。换句话说,大约 94% 的 gross profit 最终可以转化为 operating profit。 对于一个过去被当作 commodity memory company 定价的企业,这种盈利结构已经完全不像传统 NAND 厂商。 第五,50% FCF margin 是估值最值得关注的数字之一。 假设未来 Revenue 是 $50B:50% FCF margin意味着,FCF ≈ $25B。如果 Revenue 是 $60B:FCF ≈ $30B。 如果这个计算成立,那么市场实际上仍然在给 SNDK 一个非常低的 FCF multiple,因为市场并不完全相信这个盈利水平能够长期持续。20% FCF yield意味着:Price / FCF ≈ 5×。 所以接下来 SNDK 股价最大的驱动力未必是 FY28 FCF 本身继续上调,而是市场开始相信这个 FCF 是 sustainable,从而发生 multiple expansion。 第六,100% excess cash return 是另一个非常强的资本配置承诺, “return 100 percent of excess cash to our shareholders after investing in the business.”业务投资、CapEx、营运资金等需求满足之后 , 剩余的 excess cash 100%返还股东。对于股东是一个重大利好 第七,也是整个模型最核心的问题:凭什么 NAND 能长期保持 80% GM?管理层给出的答案就是:NBM。 如果 FY28 大约 2/3 bit 都进入多年 NBM,那么 SNDK 希望建立:长期客户协议,更高需求可见度, 减少spot pricing exposure,更好的供需规划 所以 CFO 特意强调:“Our confidence in the sustainability of the model comes from our multi-year NBMs.”
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