Part 4  Close Associates of Chen Zhi 1. Li Tian (also known as Thet Li,Figure1) Date of Birth: July 6, 1987 Place of Birth: Beijing, China Citizenship: Cambodia and Vanuatu Passport: RV091789 (Vanuatu) Li Tian obtained a Bachelor’s degree in E-commerce from Beijing Information Science and Technology University in 2009. As Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of the Prince Group, Li Tian was responsible for managing illicit financial flows within the organization, including the handling of laundered funds and the coordination of large-scale cash smuggling operations. In April 2020, Li Tian became the ultimate controlling shareholder of Hong Kong-listed company FSM Holdings Limited (Stock Code: 1721), holding approximately 60.23% of its issued shares. According to records from the Hong Kong Companies Registry, Li Tian also serves as a director of four additional companies registered in Hong Kong: Concept Planet (HK) Limited Silver Prosper International Limited Sky Talent Investment Limited STAR MAX DEVELOPMENT LIMITED 2. Zhou Yun (also known as Sandy Zhou,Figure2) Date of Birth: October 17, 1982 Place of Birth: Hubei Province, China Identification: Hong Kong Identity Card and Hong Kong SAR Passport Passport: G30024177 (China) Sandy Zhou  serves as Chen Zhi’s financial assistant and wealth manager. She has been designated under United States sanctions programs. Multiple insurance brokerage and securities firms of Mighty Divine Group in Hong Kong, which were beneficially owned or controlled by Chen Zhi through Sandy Zhou , have been subject to enforcement actions and regulatory intervention. 3. Wei Qianjiang （Figure3) Date of Birth: April 28, 1983 Wei Qianjiang graduated in January 2015 from the Open University of China (formerly the Central Radio and Television University), obtaining an Associate Degree in Business Administration. Through a Bitcoin mining enterprise in Laos operated by the Prince Group, namely Warp Data Technology Lao Sole Co., Ltd., large volumes of Bitcoin (BTC) were allegedly transferred to cryptocurrency wallets controlled by Chen Zhi. Wei Qianjiang served as the person in charge of this operation. Key business activities include: 2014: Established Chongqing Venture Capital and Longxun Technology in Chongqing, China  2017: Registered a Hong Kong entity under the same name, Loncent Technology, with plans to pursue an IPO on the HKEX August 2018: Appointed as a Non-Independent Executive Director of HKEX-listed company Geotech Holdings Ltd. (Stock Code: 1707), a company controlled by Chen Zhi July 2020: Loncent Technology was investigated by police for promoting gambling services and facilitating cyber-enabled criminal activities; multiple senior executives were detained or defected to authorities, while Wei Qianjiang, as the company’s legal representative and owner, was handled in a separate case 2020: Registered Merak Technology (Hong Kong) Limited in Hong Kong @BBCWorld @BBCBreaking @WSJ @business @nytimes @cnni @Reuters @Forbes @TIME @TheEconomist @UN @AP @washingtonpost @MarketWatch @WSJecon @FAANews @NTSB_Newsroom @FoxNews @FT @YahooFinance @SkyNews  @NBCNews

最近大盘已经连续创新高，半导体板块更是一骑绝尘。 美光、Lite、Sndk、SMH、SOXX年内涨幅至少30%，有的甚至已经翻倍。这种时候，我的做法不是追涨，而是开始想另一个问题：该拿什么来接住下一次下跌？ 我最近把几只防御型高股息ETF做了一个系统对比，分别是HDV、SCHD、NOBL、SPHD。 先看长期表现。过去三年总回报：HDV +51%，SCHD +50.5%，SPHD +37%，NOBL +24%。过去一年：SCHD +28.7%，HDV +22.3%，NOBL +13%，SPHD +10.8%。长期来看，HDV和SCHD两只是明显第一梯队。 但我更在意的是：大盘真的跌的时候，这些ETF撑不撑得住？ 我拉了三次大跌的数据。 2022年全年，美联储激进加息，标普500全年跌了21%。这四只ETF里，HDV逆势收涨+5.9%，SPHD几乎持平-0.3%，SPLV -3.9%，SCHD -4%，NOBL -6.4%。HDV是唯一正收益的。 2026年年初到三月底，大盘跌了7.5%。HDV +11.4%，SCHD +10.9%，SPHD +3.6%，NOBL +0.7%。HDV和SCHD在这段时间不仅防住了，还逆势上涨。 2025年4月解放日关税冲击，大盘单段下跌接近18%。HDV只跌了5.9%，SPLV最抗跌跌了5.4%，SPHD -8.7%，NOBL -10%，SCHD -11.4%。急跌行情里HDV依然是第二稳。 三次压力测试下来，结论很清晰：HDV在防御一致性上排名第一，没有哪一次大跌它是垫底的。SCHD长期复利能力最强，但在真正的急跌中回撤会更大一些。NOBL名字听起来最安全（持有连续25年提升股息的贵族股），但三次测试里防御能力反而是最差的，费率还最贵，性价比很低。SPHD和SPLV防御尚可，但长期拖累明显。 我的做法是：把今年半导体仓位里涨幅超过预期的部分，分批止盈，不是清仓，是锁定一部分浮盈。 腾出来的资金，开始建一个以HDV为核心的防御仓位，可以选择搭配少量SCHD补充长期复利。 市场不会一直涨。不是说现在一定跌，而是涨得越多，防御的成本越低，赔率越合理。 你们现在的防御仓位占多少？