Bitcoin vs. The Stock Market
Strip out Bitcoin's volatility and the trend is hard to argue with.
1 BTC priced in shares of the total US stock market (VTI), 4-year moving average:
Jan 2020: 34.6 shares
Today: 222.9 shares
That's 6.4x, or 32% a year, against stocks.
YoY growth of the 4Y MA:
2021: +92%
2022: +32%
2023: +16%
2024: +30%
2025: +22%
2026: +7%
It hasn't had a down year once.
It rose on 2,464 of 2,465 days, including the 2022 crash and this year's 42% drawdown.
The spot ratio swings 66% a year. The 4Y average swings 1%.
The noise is the price. The signal is the slope.
Bitcoin is the apex asset: