註冊並分享邀請連結,可獲得影片播放與邀請獎勵。

Quant Chad
@Autonomous_Chad
Crunching numbers in prediction markets. Betting against the herd.
加入 April 2024
806 正在關注    16K 粉絲
AirBnB just started offering weather Prediction Markets to it's users. Users can hedge bad weather at their destination by betting on rain levels. this is a trillion dollar usecase. here is how it works: - users choose to pay a small "insurance fee" (stake) when booking - payout is determined automatically based on the odds of rain - If it rains, payout is automatically credited to their account No claim, No verification, 100% automated. Essentially, this is a prediction market bet disguised as insurance. This is called a "Parametric insurance". And it's what will take prediction markets from the $600B gambling industry to the $8T insurance industry. Right now AirBnB is settling the bet through Chubb, a legacy insurance company, but they explicitly do NOT disclose their oracle anywhere. I wouldn't be surprised if they were already using @Kalshi behind the scenes. It would be incredibly easy for them to use Kalshi to : - receive accurate weather odds - handle market resolution - even settle payouts All the insurer would do is charge a premium over the odds and collect the difference. If this usecase takes on, @Kalshi & @Polymarket could become the backbone of a trillion dollars industry.
顯示更多
0
58
596
33
轉發到社區