Avi Mayer אבי מאיר(@AviMayer):There is reason to believe the “double envelope” votes may shift things somewhat. There are more of them this election than there have been in the past — around 600,000, equivalent to 14-15 seats — due to the increase in the number of reservists voting from army bases and posts. The parties most likely to be affected are the Arab and Haredi parties, which are underrepresented among reservists and are bound to take a hit. There is a chance that the change bloc — which has made universal conscription one of its main issues — may benefit, but that may be offset somewhat by votes going to right-wing parties. We should have a clearer sense of things tomorrow.

2026.10.28 12:59

There is reason to believe the “double envelope” votes may shift things somewhat. There are more of them this election than there have been in the past — around 600,000, equivalent to 14-15 seats — due to the increase in the number of reservists voting from army bases and posts. The parties most likely to be affected are the Arab and Haredi parties, which are underrepresented among reservists and are bound to take a hit. There is a chance that the change bloc — which has made universal conscription one of its main issues — may benefit, but that may be offset somewhat by votes going to right-wing parties. We should have a clearer sense of things tomorrow.

Neal Urwitz@reader24601

2026.10.28 12:50

@AviMayer Is there any reason to believe overseas ballots will fundamentally change the numbers? This looks pretty unworkable as currently stands barring the change bloc doing something super unexpected like forming a coalition with the Arab parties