Dune(@Dune):Prediction markets cleared $13B+ across categories like politics, finance, technology, world events, weather, and culture, combined across Polymarket and Kalshi. Finance alone is $2.08B, and its five biggest markets all track Fed rate decisions, repriced hourly ahead of every FOMC meeting. A few other markets on the list work the same way, as a cross-asset signal hedge funds and asset managers can actually use: • "US forces enter Iran" and ceasefire markets, tracking the geopolitical risk premium under oil. • US government shutdown odds, a fiscal read that moves in real time. • Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair, a direct market view on monetary policy direction. Every one of these is priced by traders putting capital behind an outcome, updated in real time. Explore Prediction Markets data on Dune:

2026.07.30 13:00

Prediction markets cleared $13B+ across categories like politics, finance, technology, world events, weather, and culture, combined across Polymarket and Kalshi. Finance alone is $2.08B, and its five biggest markets all track Fed rate decisions, repriced hourly ahead of every FOMC meeting. A few other markets on the list work the same way, as a cross-asset signal hedge funds and asset managers can actually use: • "US forces enter Iran" and ceasefire markets, tracking the geopolitical risk premium under oil. • US government shutdown odds, a fiscal read that moves in real time. • Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair, a direct market view on monetary policy direction. Every one of these is priced by traders putting capital behind an outcome, updated in real time. Explore Prediction Markets data on Dune: