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Gaetano
@Gaetano2026
Photonics/Physical AI Company Coverage On Substack
加入 February 2025
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$CIEN Price Target Changes/Reaffirms Northland: $500 → $550 Barclays: $475 → $548 Morgan Stanley: $425 → $450 Yesterday's news was very meaningful for the long term thesis for Ciena To sum up some comments: 1 - Higher long-term earnings power. 2 - A financial framework ahead of existing Street estimates. 3 - Potential upside from opportunities that management has yet to fully bake into the long-term model. NFA/Long Ciena
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$CIEN just laid out a much stronger long-term growth framework > targeting roughly 30% revenue CAGR from FY26 through FY29. That would take revenue from about $6.4B today to roughly $14B by FY29. At the same time, management is targeting ~50% adjusted gross margins, 32–35% adjusted operating margins, and ~20% free-cash-flow margins. The new Interconnects reporting segment should also make its AI/data-center exposure much easier for investors to see and value. Overall, the update strengthens the case that Ciena’s current growth cycle could extend well beyond FY27 and come with major operating leverage.
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