Where does $SIVE sit in the AI supply chain?
This is the part most people miss. Sivers doesn't sell directly to Nvidia or Amazon. They sit upstream of the companies that sit upstream of those hyperscalers.
The chain looks like this:
Sivers ships InP CW-DFB laser arrays
→ to companies like POET, Ayar Labs, O-Net, and Enablence, which package those lasers into External Light Source (ELS) modules
→ those ELS modules feed optical engines built by Celestial AI (just bought by Marvell), Ayar's TeraPHY chiplet, and Lightmatter's Passage
→ those optical engines plug into ASICs designed and packaged by Marvell, Broadcom, and Alchip
→ which become AWS Trainium, MSFT Maia, META MTAI, Google TPU, and Nvidia Rubin clusters
Four layers up the chain from the GPU. That's why nobody saw them. And that's exactly why they matter.
The laser is the input that nothing else in the stack works without. You can swap optical engine vendors. You can swap packaging vendors. You cannot swap the laser source without a 2–3 year requalification cycle that nobody has time for in a 2027–2028 ramp window.
That is what supply chain analysts call a chokepoint.
@aleabitoreddit calls it "the kingmaker for CPO." The structural position is real. The only debate is whether Sivers specifically captures the volume, or whether Lumentum and Coherent eat the share from above.
More on that later.
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$SIVE / $SIVEF - A 75-year-old Swedish chip company with 130 employees just became one of the most important suppliers in the entire AI infrastructure stack.
The AI data center buildout is hitting a physical wall. Copper interconnects between GPUs are running out of bandwidth, dissipating too much heat, and burning too much power. Every hyperscaler roadmap from 2027 onward solves this by moving the optical-to-electrical conversion INTO the chip package itself.
This is called Co-Packaged Optics (CPO).
CPO needs three things:
1. An optical engine (the modulator chiplet)
2. A packaging platform (the interposer)
3. An external light source feeding the engine
That third component is the bottleneck. It needs to be a high-power, multi-wavelength, continuously emitting laser array - specifically built on Indium Phosphide (InP).
There are maybe 4 companies in the world that can make these at hyperscaler-grade quality.
$SIVE is one of them.
They're the only Western microcap pure-play.
They ship from a 700m² cleanroom in Glasgow that can run over 2 million laser tests per month, with a second-source qualification underway at WIN Semiconductor in Taiwan to unlock real volume.
I am going to give you a 5-post breakdown of where they sit, who's already using them, and why this could be the next $LITE - follow if you are interested.
This will be posted through the next 2 days
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