Matthew Barnett(@MatthewJBar):How can we adjudicate whether an intelligence explosion "happened" or not? If almost all of us are still alive, with real GDP growth below 5%, no molecular nanobots, no von Neumann probes launched, and no cure for Alzheimer's, is that consistent with it having "happened"?

2026.11.11 05:44

How can we adjudicate whether an intelligence explosion "happened" or not? If almost all of us are still alive, with real GDP growth below 5%, no molecular nanobots, no von Neumann probes launched, and no cure for Alzheimer's, is that consistent with it having "happened"?

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