Nate Silver(@NateSilver538):I love building empirically grounded statistical models. They work well in data-rich environments like sports. AI x-risk isn't like that. Few technologies are good analogies. Plus, there's survivorship bias, and the track record on nuclear weapons isn't super reassuring, btw.

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

Founder of Silver Bulletin: and cohost of Still Counting podcast!

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Nate Silver@NateSilver538

2026.09.11 15:54

I love building empirically grounded statistical models. They work well in data-rich environments like sports. AI x-risk isn't like that. Few technologies are good analogies. Plus, there's survivorship bias, and the track record on nuclear weapons isn't super reassuring, btw.

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