Sean T at RCP(@SeanTrende):On poll error, first is to remember you really can't predict and pollsters are trying to fix these things all the time. Every Maine pollster understands that she always outruns her polling. But I left this image out which illustrates how extreme states see larger errors 1/2

Sean T at RCP

@SeanTrende

Sr. Elections Analyst, @RCPolitics, Visiting Scholar, @AEI, Lecturer, @osupolisci. Recovering Attorney. Husband, Dad. Writes about elections, history and more.

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Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende

2026.10.27 18:27

On poll error, first is to remember you really can't predict and pollsters are trying to fix these things all the time. Every Maine pollster understands that she always outruns her polling. But I left this image out which illustrates how extreme states see larger errors 1/2