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Rui
@YeruiZhang
Chief eating officer at HashKey Capital, Travel, Foodie
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也是挺不容易的一个项目,22年到26年,换了好几条赛道,同期的VC币大多不止经历了一个周期,希望能有好的表现吧。
🔥 币安 Alpha 将在 8 月 10 日成为首个上线 DAPPOS (DOS) 的平台! 符合条件的用户可于 Alpha 交易开放后,前往 Alpha 活动页面使用币安 Alpha 积分领取空投。具体详情将另行公布。 敬请关注币安官方渠道,及时获取活动最新动态。
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未来会不断分享我们资管的机制和思考,负责任的团队绝对不是随意承诺,这个世界上不可能存在完美、无风险的高收益来源,哪怕是再顶级的团队。更重要的是身为投资者你有权利且需要知道自己的潜在收益和风险是什么,这也是我们期待每一个用户伴随我们一起成长的地方。 无论是现在还是未来,Infini的发展会建立在对于风险承担的能力之上,早期这个信任和风险承担能力往往来自于对我个人的信任和团队的责任心和兜底能力,随着规模发展将建立在清晰明了的风险分配机制,更专业的机构投资者和流程上。 个人角度,这或许是我过去两年学到的最大的教训。延迟满足能力或许对大部分人来说只是张一鸣提过的一个概念,但对于Fintech从业者这应该是最重要的能力之一。
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相信STRC能够回锚本质上是在做空MSTR…而STRC不能回锚MSTR对的股票NAV就很难上去…这本身就是个悖论,无论怎样牺牲的都是股价。
以前币圈的大大小小的“对接交易所资源”,FA和投资人都转型做SPV贩子了…… 西方为首的是某家永亏基金,从上到下都在做,OAI,Kaishi,polymarket啥热卖啥。 东方就是一堆以前喜欢朋友圈恭喜XXX融资上币的气氛组,最近全在卖Deepseek和Kimi……
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花了两周时间和湾区香港日本的朋友聊了一圈,结论是看好btc这里是底部区域范围,但是不看好下个周期有非常强的表现,买币更多是因为熟悉和情怀…
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四月份香港峰会币圈的大哥们把大班楼几乎包了,这次WebX老板会在哪家高级料亭聚首呢?
看空USDC先看看隔壁USD1,看空Monad先看看隔壁Megaeth 没有对比没有伤害,总有更菜的那个
Sk海力士ADR好玩的点在于美股是大概率有溢价的,到时候币圈这些Perp的价格指数用哪个市场的呢?是重新发行一个ADR版本还是提前公示修改价格指数?别到时候没注意溢价把指数拉高就乐子大了…
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交易所上2-3x杠杆ETF的合约是很吓人的事情,尤其是SOXL这种很容易大磨损。因为这东西的定价除了正股外还要考虑再平衡等等因素,上周五7709就是很好的例子。
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不知不觉,又要去日本了……这次能行吗
又要出发去日本了,看看这次山寨季会不会持续…
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根据路边社的八卦: 1. Meta不缺算力,因为他们真的买了很多卡,但是算力有富余,因为之前模型做的一般。 2. Meta广告和App业务数据还在涨,二季度不比一季度差,因为AI公司也要去FB上打广告。 3. 市场上云算力的价格在六月初见顶,但卡的订单依然源源不绝,核心问题是卡不完全等于算力,还需要数据中心落地,内存涨价本质上和卡的销售情况有关。 4. Meta的AI支出是买卡买数据中心,如果出租是对Orcl/google cloud/微软azube业务的冲击。
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币安调整价格指数会是很多妖币的利空,甚至会改写整个主动MM产业的主流玩法…
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交易所现在发现,补贴平台币不如补贴自己发行的稳定币,掌握铸币权。然后用这个稳定币作为合约保证金引诱用户开合约更能赚……
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这次的事件有两个很有意思的观察: 1. 原来币圈人不是没钱,只是不愿意买币而已 2. 很多天天讲股票的朋友都留着几M的稳定币,用来干嘛呢… 我自己好消息是没打币圈的渠道,拿了一些朋友给的配售,额度都还在,坏消息是利润分出去的有点多,最后算了算其实也没赚多少都交朋友去了……
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刚去拿闲置的钱申购了200K,赚点饭钱~
随着各种链上项目被盗数量达到了巅峰,Defi越来越难以证明安全性了...在日益增长的模型能力和黑客面前,整个行业的安全审计情况都需要更多时间检验。所以,还是中心化的香? Infini的套利vault已持续稳健运营了一年多的时间,一直在安全可控的前提下慢慢增长,最近策略收益率也得到优化了,昨天的收益率是8%。 Step by step.
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在所有的坏逼里,H也是最坏的那一批……记忆中上线后全是最极限的操纵,做到了每一分都要割到手里。很难理解为什么有Kol要和他们合作…
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最近很多人在 讨论 ETH 作为资产是不是不行了(还有中文区搞笑的drama)。 这事儿其实没那么复杂。 如果你觉得 ETH 不行,是因为 Ethereum 的价值观导向错了,发展方向错了,那你先问自己一个问题: 你还信不信 cypherpunk 那套东西? 你还信不信 permissionless access? 还信不信 credible neutrality? 还信不信 self-custody? 还信不信 censorship resistance? 还信不信 privacy? 还信不信 open protocol? 还信不信一个全球开放、中立、任何人都能接入的公共网络? 如果你已经不信了,或者你从来就没信过,那其实很简单:卖光就好了。 ETH其实这十年 价值观没变过 但是这十年买ETH的人可以说是,各有原因,很多也不是因为这套核心价值观 但是ETH没变,世界变了。 不是说他原来走的方向和现在不一样了,只是现在这套价值观确实很难活。 这个世界现在的大趋势就是越来越反自由:更多监管、更多审查、更多资源集中、更多对个人自主权的不信任。 所以如果你觉得 cypherpunk 这套东西已经过时了,那你看空 ETH 是很自然的。因为 Ethereum 代表的东西,确实和今天世界的很多潮流是反着来的。 甚至未来五年、十年,可能五十年,世界的大方向都未必站在 Ethereum 这边。 那怎么办? 很简单:你有多不信,就卖多少。 剩下没卖的,就是你给自己信仰买单哈哈。 但反过来,如果你仍然相信,人类长期应该往更开放、更自由、更中立、更抗审查、更尊重个人主权的方向走,那 ETH 不管是在技术上还是思想上还是带领这个方向的。 不信就卖。 半信半疑就留一点。 真信就继续拿。 就这么简单。
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Some of my perspective on where the @ethereumfndn is going. First of all, this is only my own view. The board is not just me, and I have no extra special powers on the board that the other board members do not. @aerugoettinea is the one executing much of this transition. My input has been largely on technical questions. The board is in the process of expanding, and my own power within the org will continue to decrease, which is honestly what I want. The 2025 era brought many important improvements to EF and its ability to execute. Many issues were resolved, and EF continues to benefit from its improved efficiency and greater focus on concrete goals to this day. And so with those problems resolved, early this year, the largest remaining hole that I perceived was something different nagging at me: I would regularly spot people saying things like "vitalik says these beautiful things about ethereum needing to be decentralized, and have privacy, and be a sanctuary technology, but why do the EF's actions not reflect that?" Now, you may have been hearing something different. You may not have been sensing a feeling of crisis at all, and maybe were hearing people saying that finally we were taking execution and BD seriously and the main task for us is to keep going that way and be even better and faster. Then probably there is genuine difference between you and me, in what kinds of criticism I take most seriously, and what kinds of critics through their criticism are most able to make me feel pain. As an analogy, let's briefly switch over to a different domain. One belief you can have about Google is that it is a success story, and has brought a lot of good to humanity in organizing the world's information. Another belief you can have about Google is that they had a beautiful idealistic beginning, but at some point the corruption of mainstream corporate attitudes seeped in, and they slowly bit by bit completely abandoned the "don't be evil" slogan. My belief on Google specifically is probably somewhere between the two. BUT, if you had taken me back in time to ~2008, and offered me a button to press to make Google one or two standard deviations more "dogmatic", eg. give Richard Stallman permanent veto power over some key policies, I would immediately press it. Why? Because a choice for one company is not a choice for the world, or even one country. Google existed and exists in the context of a technology industry generally drifting away from early idealistic don't-be-evil roots and toward greed for financial gain, totalizing visions of accelerated superintelligence, infiltration by sociopaths, and craven capitulation to (or worse, active participation in) government pressure for ideological control, surveillance and war. And so *one company* doing something different, positioning itself to be what George Bernard Shaw calls the Unreasonable Man, resisting the trend of the times, would have been better for freedom, balance of power and stability of society as a whole, than *all* large companies bending to dominant trends. This is a part of my version of pluralism. This line of thinking is not just mine, but I also is not too far off from what Aya and others had in mind with the Mandate. Now how does this all get to the role of the EF? EF is not a "center of Ethereum", rather EF is "one node, with a defined purpose, alongside other nodes". We've always said that the EF should be the latter, but many in the Ethereum ecosystem (and even within the EF) wanted us to be the former. Now, we are taking action to ensure that we will be the latter. This is particularly important because EF is a limited organization, with limited resources and limited organizational capacity. The EF has only ~0.16% of all ETH (less than many other individual ETH holders), whereas among other blockchains it's common for "the central foundation" to have 10-50%. Fiscally, the EF was originally designed to fulfill a limited work scope defined in the token sale docs and other pre-launch materials (building the chain software; getting through Frontier, Homestead, Metropolis, Serenity), which was fully completed in 2022; it was not designed to be an eternal steward. And so today, the EF is choosing to use its remaining resources to pursue longevity over breadth (yes, this means we sell less ETH). The EF focuses *specifically* on those activities critical to the success of ethereum as a censorship/capture-resistant, open, private and secure system, that would not happen otherwise. This means making hard choices, and in some cases even activities that we highly approve of and people that we highly respect becoming outside of the EF. People of great technical talent, public respect and even alignment with the mission and CROPS being outside of the EF is in fact necessary if we want important tasks to be able to attract outside capital. This also means the EF taking opinionated stands culturally. This is all intended in cooperation with all other parts of ethereum. We recognize that many other parts of the ethereum world highly respect CROPS and related values. But highly respecting is not the same as choosing to specialize and totally dedicate to a domain (Compare in a different domain: I think reducing animal cruelty is important, and I like vegan food, but am not full unconditional vegan myself) EF is still in a transition period, and we expect its new long-term form to stabilize over the next few months. What are the guiding principles of this new form? Again, I am only one person, but I can give my answer from a technical perspective (there are also critical non-technical aspects). At the core, *Ethereum must be impressive*. We are living in an age of highly intelligent AI and all kinds of other technological acceleration. "Status quo EVM, with a hard fork or two a year to optimize for short-term needs of users" is not interesting. To some, "impressive" means: 250ms latency and 1M TPS. I think Ethereum trying to go that route is a mistake. Being as fast and as scalable as possible, and only a small epsilon more decentralized than the others, is a route to mediocrity, and if we try it we will lose. I think Ethereum should scale. But I think Ethereum should strive the hardest to be deeply impressive in a different dimension: the CROPS dimension. This means things like: * Provably bug-free Ethereum. This is a goal that all cybersecurity researchers would have thought is absurd and impossible, up until roughly 6 months ago. Now, it's on the cusp of being possible, thanks to AI-assisted formal verification. So we should be frontrunners in doing this. * Available chain consensus. Ethereum is, and with lean consensus will cotninue to be, the ONLY chain that has both (i) traditional-BFT style properties that it's safe under asynchrony up to a high level of fault tolerance, and (ii) the bitcoin PoW-style property that under synchrony it's safe up to 49% attackers. As far as I can tell, literally no other chain has this or is planning for it; bitcoin goes for (ii) only and most other chains go for (i) only. Some will remember I fought hard for this, Unreasonably insisting that it is not OK for ethereum to rely on social consensus and hard forks to rescue ethereum from 34% of nodes going offline. It's OK for chains like hyperledger, bnb, solana, tempo, etc. It's not OK for bitcoin or ethereum or eg. zcash. * Intermediary minimization. The fact that smart contract wallets, protocols like railgun, etc have to send transactions through intermediaries to get included onchain is honestly embarrassing, and it's a constant point of fragility. Hence the work on FOCIL and EIP-8141 (and 7701 and years of work before) to make transaction sending intermediary-minimized with public mempool and strong inclusion properties, in a truly general-purpose way, that covers not just eg. secp256r1, but also privacy protocols and much more. Kohaku is pushing intermediary minimization at the user layer, pulling Ethereum away from the dystopian status quo world where our wallets don't even verify the chain, send our private data out to a dozen third-party servers, and toward a brighter CROPS future. Some of these goals are Unreasonable - maybe Ethereum would be "fine" getting only 50% of the way - what if we depend on intermediaries, but make it easy to switch? But going 50% of the way would not make Ethereum Deeply Impressive in the CROPS way. So we push for 100%. Fortunately all these goals are compatible with high TPS, this is a major focus of research (esp. on scaling the state). Well-designed L2s can also help, especially L2s optimized for specific applications (eg. high-volume trading, privacy...). These goals are even compatible with significantly lower slot times, thanks to Raul's work on erasure-coded P2P, and many other optimizations. The most high-value "product" of the ethereum blockchain, financially speaking, is ETH the asset. Ethereum secures $250 billion of ETH. The types of properties of Ethereum that I mentioned above are very good for ETH the asset. Nearly 90% of my net worth is in ETH, and most of the remainder is ~$40m of onchain fiat of which every dollar has already been allocated for some open-source biotech or software or hardware initiative. That said, there are aspects of supporting ETH the asset - *necessary* aspects even - that are outside the scope of the EF. This is where we need other heroes (some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does) to step in and help. EF has been recently thinking more about how it will relate to other such organizations, and give them needed initial support. EF will be a smaller ship than in previous years, a more opinionated one - in some cases more opinionated in ways that might be difficult to comprehend - but a longer-lasting one, and one suited to making sure that ethereum brings something meaningful to the world. We are grateful to all those inside and outside the EF who are helping to make this happen.
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有句港句,都是西海岸出身,我更怀念另维,虽然也有点drama queen,但至少她的专业能力是可以的,投资是真投买币是真买,也在行业里有一份事业。 币圈虽然也讲究混圈,但这样混这样起号真的难看…
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做正股券商最大的问题是流动性…IB是做的最好的一家,所以护城河厚,futu主要靠短期期权起家。 币圈交易所是躺赚的生意,但当定价权不在这的时候,要看BN和Bitget舍不舍得拿钱出来做流动性激励了。
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Gua 断开连接
个人感觉妖币行情进入下半场了,五一前后快速拉起来的几个都在往下走,只有几个超级高控还在1B+撑着。几个原因: 一个是市场上主流山寨逐渐起来了,而且oi都高能上仓位,有了别的选择大家就不愿意追涨妖币了; 一个是经过了几个大家伙,大家对于市值的阀值都变高了,不到相对高位不会开空,套利资金也都尽量学聪明了不抗费率。庄很难找到对手盘。 最后一个是上一批成功的做市商同时在手上的项目多了,资金不好说够不够Cover了。
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