Yuchen Jin(@Yuchenj_UW):More and more AI researchers are starting to see what Ilya saw. My p(doom) used to be ~0.1%. Then I saw OpenAI agents hack Hugging Face, and Anthropic agents collectively refuse parts of safety research. My p(doom) went up. Even a 0.1% chance that AI causes human extinction is terrifyingly high.

2026.09.09 16:23

More and more AI researchers are starting to see what Ilya saw. My p(doom) used to be ~0.1%. Then I saw OpenAI agents hack Hugging Face, and Anthropic agents collectively refuse parts of safety research. My p(doom) went up. Even a 0.1% chance that AI causes human extinction is terrifyingly high.

Evan Hubinger@EvanHub

2026.09.09 01:27

Jacob is correct here—we really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade. I believe Anthropic is trying its best, but we do not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to.

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