$LITE CEO Michael Hurlston at the RAISE Summit warned that the supply gap for InP lasers for AI DCs:
Is facing a more severe supply chain crisis than memory.
And with Lumentum's 5 InP fabs, shipments would be more than 30%+ below customer demand.
This is especially visible with EMLs today but is already expanding to CW, especially as CPO ramps.
I've always been a fan of the laser chokepoint + bottleneck from $AAOI, $SIVE, $LITE, and $COHR. And glad this thesis is starting to see validation.
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