The two-year Treasury yield has gone from 4.56% to 4.86% in two trading sessions as the market starts to price a bigger Fed hike in December.
BTC lost $70,000 overnight and touched $67,555, its lowest since August. It's down about 8% since Monday's open. Nvidia had the headlines and closed down 4.3% yesterday.
We think the short end of the bond market is doing the damage, and crypto is where leverage gets cleared first. If producer prices come in hot at 1:30pm UK, we don't see a quick reclaim of $70k. A soft print and a daily close back above it would make us look again.
Is a half-point hike in December now in your base case too?
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