Ethan Mollick(@emollick):Stuff is happening quite fast. When asked in September 2025, the best superforecasters put the chance of AI resolving a Millennium Problem by September 2026 at 1.7% and (the more optimistic) industry expert put the chance at 4.6% They also greatly underestimated AI Lab revenue.

Ethan Mollick

@emollick

Professor @Wharton studying AI. New book, Co-Existence, coming October 20. Preorder here: Substack:

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Ethan Mollick@emollick

2026.09.24 01:00

Stuff is happening quite fast. When asked in September 2025, the best superforecasters put the chance of AI resolving a Millennium Problem by September 2026 at 1.7% and (the more optimistic) industry expert put the chance at 4.6% They also greatly underestimated AI Lab revenue.