Geoffrey Irving(@geoffreyirving):I think we have a ~50% chance of all dying as a result of superintelligence, mostly due to actions in the next few to 10 years. I don't expect to have that resolved to below 10% or above 90% before we either make it through, or we don't. We will have to act despite uncertainty.

Geoffrey Irving

@geoffreyirving

Cofounder and Chief Scientist at Resolution. Alignment will be solved, but not necessarily in time. Previously AISI, DeepMind, OpenAI, Google Brain, etc.

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Geoffrey Irving@geoffreyirving

2026.09.10 06:23

I think we have a ~50% chance of all dying as a result of superintelligence, mostly due to actions in the next few to 10 years. I don't expect to have that resolved to below 10% or above 90% before we either make it through, or we don't. We will have to act despite uncertainty.

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