GURGAVIN(@gurgavin):YESTERDAY JUST SHOWED HOW ACCURATE PREDICTION MARKETS ACTUALLY ARE THEY CALLED 479 OUT OF 487 RACES CORRECTLY ( THATS OVER 98%) AND IN THE MAIN RACES THEY CALLED THE WINNERS ON AVERAGE OVER AN HOUR BEFORE THE NEWS

2026.11.04 18:01

YESTERDAY JUST SHOWED HOW ACCURATE PREDICTION MARKETS ACTUALLY ARE THEY CALLED 479 OUT OF 487 RACES CORRECTLY ( THATS OVER 98%) AND IN THE MAIN RACES THEY CALLED THE WINNERS ON AVERAGE OVER AN HOUR BEFORE THE NEWS

Kalshi@Kalshi

2026.11.04 16:20

The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far. That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted. The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵