Jack Clark(@jackclarkSF):I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.

Jack Clark

@jackclarkSF

@AnthropicAI, ONEAI OECD, co-chair @indexingai, writer @ Past: @openai, @business @theregister. Neural nets, distributed systems, weird futures

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Jack Clark@jackclarkSF

2026.05.04 14:47

I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.

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