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jietang
@jietang
Professor @ Tsinghua, Founder of AGI, LLM. “The value of a man should be seen in what he gives and not in what he is able to receive.”―Einstein
加入 May 2008
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Are you sure? Finding the optimal model size is tricky: data volume, active parameter count, the number of environments, and the target inference cost. Model performance also depends on many other factors, each introducing its own variability.
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Fable is probably ~2-2.5T parameters, not 10T. Kimi K3 is 2.8T params, trained on maybe 20–30k Blackwell-equivalents. It lands within spitting distance of Fable 5 in terms of capabilities (5, not 5.1). Anthropic has far more compute than Moonshot, better rl environments, better architecture and better optimizers and all of that adds to capability per parameter. So if Fable is only slightly ahead of K3 with this in mind, it's almost certainly a smaller model. GPT-5.5 and 5.6 are smaller still (I'll say more on that later)
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