I read Goldman Sachs’ AI report, and I was genuinely impressed.
The core insight is as follows:
Agentic AI could turn AI from a capex-heavy cost burden into a business where usage growth drives margin expansion. As token costs fall, more complex agents become economically viable. These agents then consume far more tokens through longer context windows, repeated reasoning loops, validation, tool use, and always-on background monitoring.
This increase in token usage improves infrastructure utilization, strengthens unit economics, and gives hyperscalers and model providers more room to reinvest in model quality, distribution, and capacity.
In other words, the bull case for AI capex is not simply that usage will grow. It is that this usage growth can increasingly flow through at attractive incremental margins. Goldman Sachs argues that this margin inflection is beginning to appear from 2026 onward.
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