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AfD at 29% in the latest INSA poll is no longer a protest number. The CDU/CSU, once the default home of German conservatives, is sitting 7 points behind a party Berlin's political class spent a decade trying to quarantine. If the center-right can't close that gap before the next federal vote, the cordon sanitaire either breaks or Germany governs indefinitely through coalitions that represent a shrinking share of the electorate.
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