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Australia Household Spending (Y/Y) Aug: 6.8% (est 7.1%; prev 7.0%) - Household Spending (M/M): 1.1% (est 0.4%; prev 1.1%)
🇺🇸US DATA RUNS HOT: INFLATION STICKY, DEMAND FIRM INFLATION • Headline PCE MoM: +0.2% vs +0.1% est.; prior -0.1% • Headline PCE YoY: +3.7% vs +3.6% est.; prior +3.7% • Core PCE MoM: +0.2% vs +0.2% est.; prior +0.1% • Core PCE YoY: +3.3% vs +3.3% est.; prior +3.3% GDP • Q2 GDP annualized: +1.5% vs +1.5% est.; prior +1.5% • Personal consumption: +3.4% vs +3.2% est.; prior +3.2% • GDP Price Index: +6.4% vs +6.2% est.; prior +6.2% • Core PCE QoQ: +3.6% vs +3.4% est.; prior +3.4% INCOME & SPENDING • Personal income MoM: +0.4% vs +0.2% est.; prior +0.2% • Personal spending MoM: +0.2% vs +0.1% est.; prior +0.3% • Real personal spending MoM: 0.0% vs 0.0% est.; prior +0.4% DURABLE GOODS • Durable goods orders MoM: +1.1% vs +0.5% est.; prior +0.5% • Durables ex-transportation: +0.4% vs +0.6% est.; prior +0.7% • Core capital goods orders: +0.2% vs +0.7% est.; prior revised to +1.7% • Core capital goods shipments: +1.4% vs +1.0% est.; prior revised to +2.4% BOTTOM LINE: Inflation remains sticky while consumer demand and headline durable goods beat expectations. GDP growth was in line, but stronger price pressures could keep the Fed cautious on rates.
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SWISS GDP QOQ ACTUAL 1.9% (FORECAST 1.7%, PREVIOUS 0.7%) $MACRO
Premarket movers Mag 7 names are all lower (Apple -0.1%, Alphabet -0.7%, Amazon -1.3%, Meta -1%, Microsoft -1.1%, Nvidia -1.3%, Tesla -1.2%) Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) rises 4% after Piper Sandler upgraded the biotech company to overweight, optimistic about the prospects for deramiocel, a treatment for Duchenne muscular dystrophy Charter Communications (CHTR) inches 1% lower after the cable operator said CFO Jessica Fischer will step down in mid October to relocate for another professional opportunity. Duolingo (DUOL) is up 6% after Evercore ISI upgraded the language-learning software company to outperform, noting investor opportunity following severe weakness in the stock, which is down more than 70% off a peak hit in mid-2025. Fervo Energy (FRVO) jumps 13% on a Wall Street Journal report that the geothermal company has signed a deal to sell power to Alphabet’s Google. GoPro (GPRO) soars 76%, with the stock set to extend gains after rallying more than 46% Monday. Kroger (KR) slips 1% after Citi analyst Paul Lejuez cut his price target on the grocer to a Street-low $57 from $61, and adds a downside 30-day catalyst watch on the stock ahead of Kroger’s Sept. 11 earnings report. Medtronic (MDT) gains 4% after the medical device maker boosted its organic revenue forecast for the full year. Micron Technology (MU) dips about 2% after the Taipei-based Liberty Times reported that Micron will deliver its highest incentive pay plan to its Taiwan-based employees in response to a potential strike by its labor union. NIO ADRs (NIO) slip 1% after the carmaker reported vehicle deliveries for August that were largely flat from the previous month. Robinhood Markets (HOOD) rises 2% after Morgan Stanley raised its recommendation on the exchange to overweight on growth from prediction markets.
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Eurozone shares +0.3% US shares +1.1%, Nas +1.4%..helped by dovish Fed’s Waller comments. Money mkt now sees Fed Sept hike as 51% prob US 10 yr yld -1bp to 4.77% Oil +0.3% to $91.3 Gold +2.1% to $4474.4 Iron ore +0.7% to $98.8 Bitcoin $81.5k ASX futures +0.3% $A 0.719 w $US -0.5%
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Durable Goods 1.1%, Exp. 0.5% Durables ex Transports 0.4%, Exp. 0.6% Cap Goods Orders nondef Ex Air 0.2%, Exp. 0.7%
Premarket movers: Mag 7 stocks are mostly higher (Tesla (TSLA) +1.1%, Nvidia (NVDA) +0.7%, Amazon (AMZN) +0.6%, Alphabet (GOOGL) +0.4%, Apple (AAPL) +0.1%, Microsoft (MSFT) little changed, Meta Platforms (META) -0.5%). Akamai Technologies (AKAM) rallies 20% after the cloud provider inked a seven-year $11.6 billion deal to provide computing power to Anthropic. Atlas Energy (AESI) gains 6.9% after it announced a purchase agreement with Wyoming Machinery Company for $340.5 million of Balance of Plant equipment for a power generation project. The companies also separately agreed to a 328 megawatt power deal under an agreement with Caterpillar Inc. Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) is down 1.9% after KeyBanc Capital Markets cut its recommendation to underweight from sector weight on weakness in broadband. Nike Inc. (NKE) is down 2% after BofA cut its recommendation on the athletic footwear and apparel company to underperform from neutral, and pushes the expectation for a sales turnaround into F2028. Nike reports 1Q earnings on Oct. 1. People Inc. (PPLI) jumps 9.9% on a report that MGM Resorts is discussing making a bid to purchase the Barry Diller-owned media giant. Twilio Inc. (TWLO) is down 3.5% as HSBC downgrades the communications software company to reduce from hold, seeing “limited evidence that Twilio will capture higher-margin AI software” revenue. Zscaler (ZS) falls 3.4% after the security software company announced the appointment of Ross Tackett as chief revenue officer, effective Oct. 1.
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Norway Industrial Production (M/M) Jul: -7.1% (prev 7.6%) - Industrial Production (Y/Y): -1.8% (prev 9.1%) - Ind Prod Manufacturing (M/M): 0.7% (prev -1.0%) - Ind Prod Manufacturing (Y/Y): 1.5% (prev 0.7%)
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Grok Voice Transcribe 2.0 is the new king 👑 • Artificial Analysis: #1# for accuracy among 32 streaming models, beating GPT Live, Gemini 3.5, Scribe v2, Muse, Nova-3, Azure and more On SpaceXAI’s real-world tests, lower error rate is better: • Telephony: 7.1% — #1# • Conversations: 3.3% — #1# • Short phrases across 19 languages: 6.8% — #1# It beat Gemini 3.5, ElevenLabs Scribe v2, Deepgram Nova-3, Whisper Large v3 and others across major tests. Twice as accurate as Grok Voice Transcribe 1.0 at the same price. An incredible leap by SpaceXAI. 🚀
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Premarket movers Magnificent Seven: Alphabet (GOOGL) -0.7%, Amazon (AMZN) -0.9%, Apple (AAPL) unchanged, Microsoft (MSFT) -0.6%, Tesla (TSLA) -1%, Nvidia (NVDA) -1.1%, Meta Platforms (META) -2% Darden (DRI) falls 5% after the restaurant-chain operator posted first quarter sales that disappointed. Dropbox (DBX) declines 5% after Citi downgraded the file management software company to sell, writing that recent optimism about its AI strategy “derives too much success too early.” Etsy Inc. (ETSY) slips 2% after Arete downgraded the online retail platform to neutral, citing concerns over its valuation and growth sustainability. Everpure (P) jumps 7% after the data-storage company forecast revenue for 2028 that exceeded the average analyst estimate. MGM Resorts International (MGM) is down 9% after Barry Diller’s People Inc. dropped plans to acquire the rest of the casino giant. Stitch Fix (SFIX) falls 19% after the online personal styling platform forecast a much weaker full-year 2027 Ebitda that analysts expected. Viking Therapeutics (VKTX), which had surged 36% Tuesday on experimental weight-loss drug results, is down 12% after offering $200 million in common shares and another $200 million in convertible notes to help fund clinical development.
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