World Currencies vs. the U.S. Dollar One-Year Change As of June 30, 2026: 🇨🇴 Colombian peso: +19.2% 🇮🇱 Israeli shekel: +13.2% 🇭🇺 Hungarian forint: +8.9% 🇿🇦 South African rand: +8.1% 🇲🇽 Mexican peso: +7.7% 🇨🇳 Chinese yuan: +5.6% 🇦🇺 Australian dollar: +5.2% 🇧🇷 Brazilian real: +5.2% 🇲🇾 Malaysian ringgit: +3.1% 🇳🇴 Norwegian krone: +1.8% 🇨🇱 Chilean peso: +1.0% 🇪🇬 Egyptian pound: +0.8% 🇭🇰 Hong Kong dollar: +0.1% 🇦🇪 UAE dirham: 0.0% 🇶🇦 Qatari riyal: 0.0% 🇸🇦 Saudi riyal: -0.2% 🇷🇺 Russian ruble: -0.4% 🇨🇿 Czech koruna: -1.1% 🇸🇬 Singapore dollar: -1.7% 🇨🇭 Swiss franc: -1.8% 🇹🇭 Thai baht: -2.3% 🇸🇪 Swedish krona: -2.4% 🇪🇺 Euro: -3.0% 🇩🇰 Danish krone: -3.1% 🇬🇧 Pound sterling: -3.4% 🇨🇦 Canadian dollar: -4.1% 🇵🇱 Polish złoty: -4.2% 🇳🇿 New Zealand dollar: -6.8% 🇹🇼 Taiwan dollar: -8.2% 🇵🇭 Philippine peso: -8.2% 🇮🇩 Indonesian rupiah: -9.3% 🇮🇳 Indian rupee: -9.4% 🇯🇵 Japanese yen: -11.3% 🇰🇷 South Korean won: -12.6% 🇹🇷 Turkish lira: -14.6% 🇦🇷 Argentine peso: -18.9% Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP.

Last wk, SPX/Nas/R2K +0.5%/+0.8%/-1.5% w/ oil -4%. But a hawkish Warsh on Friday led to a bear flattening of the yield curve. Despite $NVDA guide of 70% CY27 rev growth vs consensus of 47%, SOX Index -2.3% while software $IGV +5.9% on solid earnings. In general, many AI investors have been bullish on semiconductors and bearish on software on the belief that AI will displace many point solution software companies. This is why the SOX index is up 62% YTD and IGV is still only up 4% YTD versus the S&P +13%. Situational Awareness was the poster child for this type of positioning. But since the unwinding of the Momentum trade which started on 6/22 (I wrote about these concerns on 6/20), IGV has rallied 25% while the SOX Index has declined 22% through 8/28. For perspective, the Morgan Stanley Momentum index (momentum long performance minus momentum short performance) from 6/22-8/28 is down 36% while their more concentrated TMT index is down 54%. But a bullish twist on AI for the software sector introduced recently is that AI agents will access software tools ~10-100x more often than humans. On 8/6, $TEAM, which was in the bucket of software names widely considered at risk of being replaced by AI, rallied 35% the next day in reaction to solid earnings & outlook. Then on 8/13, $WDAY rallied 18% on the news that private equity firm Silverlake might be pursuing an acquisition which I wrote probably put a floor underneath software. Workday was also supposed to be in the AI crosshairs and private equity has higher bars to clear given their use of leverage and holding period than a typical investor. Then on 8/26, $CRM reported solid results, guidance and a deal with Anthropic (in which they also first invested in May of 2023.) The stock was up 23% in reaction the next day. This seemed to be a strong counterpoint to the SaaS-pocalypse worries. This strategic alliance allows users to execute actions natively inside Claude without needing to open traditional software screens. Salesforce also seems to be changing how they charge customers with fees more related to customer use and benefits to their business. Then on 8/27, Workday reported results which were good enough but arguably acquisition prospects drove more of the stock reaction of +6% the next day from the slightly down opening price. Historically, system of record, security and gaming software have been the only three areas I have liked within software. I now wonder whether the fundamental implications of Atlassian, Workday and Salesforce are supportive of the technical reactions in the software stocks as a group as agentic AI continues to ramp. So how do I square this with my concerns that the rapidly escalating amounts spent on AI by corporations has to come from somewhere? Annualized revenue run-rates for Anthropic and OpenAI have ramped from $29B to start the year to $105B just 7 months later. Software spending globally excluding AI was roughly $1 trillion in 2025. But IT services at $1.7 trillion is a bigger category which I believe still has risk. And finally, knowledge worker compensation is an even bigger category where disruption would be even less noticeable at an estimated $35-50 trillion in 2025 or roughly 30% of the global workforce. Looking forward, the deal on Friday for Venezuelan oil fields that hold the largest crude reserves in the world at 17-18% should get us off to a positive start to the week with declining oil prices. But a bit further out: 1) “Don’t Fight the Fed” given I believe a hike is likely on 9/16 because the 10/28 mtg is right before mid-terms, 2) September has the poorest seasonality of all months, 3) there is even worse seasonality than normal during mid-term election years (see prior posts for more detail) and 4) recent bipartisan pushback against datacenter expansion (one of the few things both sides seem to agree on though I believe this is wrong and hope it will change with more education) puts pressure on the AI infrastructure names. As Warren Buffett says, the market has to keep pitching but you do not need to swing.

Child Poverty Rate in OECD Share of population aged 0-17 living in poverty: 1. 🇨🇷 Costa Rica: 29.6% 2. 🇮🇱 Israel: 23.2% 3. 🇪🇸 Spain: 21.5% 4. 🇺🇸 United States: 21.1% 5. 🇧🇬 Bulgaria: 19.1% 6. 🇷🇴 Romania: 17.7% 7. 🇬🇧 UK: 15.8% 8. 🇮🇹 Italy: 14.5% 9. 🇨🇦 Canada: 14.0% 10. 🇱🇺 Luxembourg: 13.5% 11. 🇱🇹 Lithuania: 12.8% 12. 🇸🇰 Slovakia: 12.8% 13. 🇵🇹 Portugal: 12.5% 14. 🇭🇷 Croatia: 12.3% 15. 🇬🇷 Greece: 12.3% 16. 🇫🇷 France: 12.0% 17. 🇭🇺 Hungary: 11.3% 18. 🇱🇻 Latvia: 10.0% 19. 🇦🇹 Austria: 9.8% 20. 🇩🇪 Germany: 9.1% 21. 🇨🇭 Switzerland: 9.1% 22. 🇨🇿 Czechia: 8.8% 23. 🇰🇷 South Korea: 8.5% 24. 🇸🇪 Sweden: 8.4% 25. 🇳🇱 Netherlands: 8.4% 26. 🇪🇪 Estonia: 8.2% 27. 🇧🇪 Belgium: 7.9% 28. 🇵🇱 Poland: 7.8% 29. 🇳🇴 Norway: 6.9% 30. 🇮🇪 Ireland: 6.8% 31. 🇸🇮 Slovenia: 6.2% 32. 🇫🇮 Finland: 4.6% Source: OECD Income Distribution Database. 2023 data, the latest available as of August 2026

BREAKING: US stock market futures surge after Pakistan announces that the US and Iran have reached a peace deal: 1. S&P 500: +0.8% 2. Nasdaq 100: +1.3% 3. Dow Jones: +0.6% 4. WTI Crude: -5.0% 5. Brent: -4.0% 6. Gold: +2.0% Pakistan says the peace deal is set to be signed on June 19th.

WE HAVE NOW OFFICIALLY COMPLETED 7 OUT OF THE 12 MONTHS IN 2026 This is how every stock in the NASDAQ 100 has performed so far in 2026 Sandisk $SNDK +411.8%🟢 Western Digital $WDC +216.3%🟢 Seagate $STX +210.9%🟢 Micron $MU +188.4%🟢 Intel $INTC +144.4%🟢 Nebius $NBIS +127.5%🟢 AMD $AMD +122.3%🟢 Marvell $MRVL +120.7%🟢 Arm Holdings $ARM +119.3%🟢 Fortinet $FTNT +103.9%🟢 Applied Materials $AMAT +97.5%🟢 Datadog $DDOG +97.1%🟢 Lumentum $LITE +93.7%🟢 Teradyne $TER +90.0%🟢 Astera Labs $ALAB +87.1%🟢 Palo Alto $PANW +80.2%🟢 Lam Research $LRCX +71.2%🟢 CrowdStrike $CRWD +62.9%🟢 Texas Instruments $TXN +58.9%🟢 Monolithic Power $MPWR +57.3%🟢 ASML $ASML +52.3%🟢 Cisco $CSCO +50.6%🟢 KLA Corp $KLAC +50.5%🟢 Ross Stores $ROST +39.4%🟢 CSX $CSX +39.0%🟢 Analog Devices $ADI +35.5%🟢 Old Dominion $ODFL +35.3%🟢 Diamondback Energy $FANG +35.0%🟢 Baker Hughes $BKR +32.8%🟢 DexCom $DXCM +25.7%🟢 Monster Beverage $MNST +25.7%🟢 Starbucks $SBUX +25.0%🟢 PACCAR $PCAR +21.2%🟢 Coca-Cola Europacific $CCEP +20.7%🟢 Marriott $MAR +20.2%🟢 Fastenal $FAST +18.9%🟢 Honeywell $HON +18.9%🟢 Amgen $AMGN +17.7%🟢 Amazon $AMZN +17.7%🟢 Microchip $MCHP +16.6%🟢 Mondelez $MDLZ +15.8%🟢 Google $GOOGL +13.8%🟢 Apple $AAPL +13.6%🟢 Broadcom $AVGO +12.5%🟢 Linde $LIN +12.2%🟢 Airbnb $ABNB +11.6%🟢 Keurig Dr Pepper $KDP +11.1%🟢 American Electric Power $AEP +10.9%🟢 Costco Wholesale $COST +10.4%🟢 Cintas CTAS +8.8%🟢 Cadence CDNS +8.8%🟢 Nvidia NVDA +7.6%🟢 Kraft Heinz KHC +6.6%🟢 Gilead Sciences GILD +6.1%🟢 Xcel Energy XEL +5.9%🟢 NXP Semiconductors NXPI +5.6%🟢 Vertex Pharmaceuticals VRTX +5.2%🟢 Exelon EXC +5.1%🟢 Paychex PAYX +4.2%🟢 ADP +3.6%🟢 Electronic Arts EA +2.7%🟢 Ferrovial FER +0.8%🟢 CoreWeave CRWV +0.2%🟢 Walmart WMT -0.2%🔴 Regeneron Pharmaceuticals REGN -1.2%🔴 PayPal PYPL -2.0%🔴 O'Reilly Automotive ORLY -2.0%🔴 PepsiCo PEP -2.8%🔴 Microsoft MSFT -3.9%🔴 Take-Two TTWO -5.1%🔴 MercadoLibre MELI -6.8%🔴 Rocket Lab RKLB -6.9%🔴 Axon AXON -7.1%🔴 Warner Bros. Discovery WBD -8.7%🔴 Booking BKNG -10.0%🔴 Roper ROP -11.9%🔴 DoorDash DASH -13.4%🔴 Qualcomm QCOM -13.7%🔴 Comcast CMCSA -14.4%🔴 T-Mobile TMUS -14.9%🔴 Meta Platforms META -15.7%🔴 GE HealthCare Technologies GEHC -17.1%🔴 Synopsys SNPS -17.2%🔴 IDEXX IDXX -17.4%🔴 Autodesk ADSK -20.9%🔴 PDD Holdings PDD -21.9%🔴 Netflix NFLX -23.5%🔴 Thomson Reuters TRI -24.5%🔴 Workday WDAY -25.4%🔴 Copart CPRT -25.6%🔴 Constellation Energy CEG -25.6%🔴 Shopify SHOP -27.2%🔴 SpaceX SPCX -27.8%🔴 Adobe ADBE -28.5%🔴 Honeywell Aerospace HONA -30.5%🔴 Palantir PLTR -30.8%🔴 Tesla TSLA -30.8%🔴 Intuitive Surgical ISRG -37.6%🔴 Strategy MSTR -38.6%🔴 AppLovin APP -41.3%🔴 Alnylam Pharmaceuticals ALNY -48.3%🔴 Intuit INTU -52.3%🔴

📌 VI. Trigger Matrix (V2.0 – Observation Status Log) Observation Item Current Value Threshold Status Consecutive Days/Trend Super-Capital Concentration Risk 9.3 8.0 ESCALATION ↑ 1 day (new) AI Governance Risk 8.8 8.0 ESCALATION ↑ 1 day (new) Resilience Ratio 0.63 0.70 ESCALATION ↑ 4 days US-Iran Deal Signing Status 接近 Formal Signing WATCH — Brent Crude Oil Price 3-mo low — THRESHOLD_CROSSED 1 day New Ebola Health Zone (DRC) Confirmed spread — THRESHOLD_CROSSED 3 days EU Accession Talks Launched — THRESHOLD_CROSSED 1 day Items Near Threshold (Elevated Observation): Observation Item Current Value Threshold Current Status • Formal signing of US-Iran deal 接近 Formal Signing ALERT • SpaceX market cap stability Above $2T Drop below $2T WATCH • OpenAI probe scope expands Multi-state Federal involvement ALERT • G7 Summit statements on AI & trade 即将 held Substantive regulatory共识 WATCH • Cross-border Ebola spread Risk rising First邻国 confirmed case ALERT • Clustered cases in fan zones No reports Confirmed cluster transmission WATCH --- 📅 VII. Key Observation List for the Next 72 Hours Grade A Observations (High Impact): Observation Item Potential Impact if Triggered 1. Formal signing of US-Iran MOU Geopolitical entropy pressure declines further, but execution risk仍需 assessed. 2. SpaceX market cap stability above $2T Test of sustainability for super-capital concentration narrative. 3. OpenAI probe expands to federal level Potential further upgrade to AI governance risk level. 4. G7 Summit statements on AI & trade First collective test of institutional response capacity. Grade B Observations (Medium Impact): Observation Item 1. Expansion of Ebola outbreak zone in DRC 2. Subsequent日程 for EU accession negotiations 3. Public health data during FIFA World Cup --- 📜 VIII. CRI Calculation Summary (V1.6) Variable Weight Risk Score Weighted Contribution V_capital 20% 9.3 1.86 V_tech 18% 8.8 1.58 V_inst 18% 8.1 1.46 V_geo 15% 7.5 1.13 V_human 10% 7.6 0.76 V_expansion 8% 7.9 0.63 V_market 6% 7.2 0.43 V_energy_price 5% 6.5 0.33 Total 100% CRI = 8.2 Calibration Notes: Added V_capital variable (weight 20%) to reflect super-capital concentration as a new structural risk dimension. V_tech上调 to 8.8 (AI governance race launch). V_geo下调 to 7.5 (US-Iran deal接近, declining war risk). --- 📌 IX. Structural Conclusion On June 13, 2026, the global civilizational system's Resilience Ratio remains below the 0.70警戒线 for the fourth consecutive day. What is most worth recording today is not war – but the first time in human civilization that private wealth approaches the GDP of a中等发达国家. When a single entrepreneur owns a satellite network, rocket system, AI platform, energy network, financial capital, and global data流入口, civilization is entering a new organizational form: Transitioning from nation-state-led civilization to platform-infrastructure-led civilization. If the core question of the 20th century was "How to constrain state power?", then the core question of the latter half of the 21st century may well become "How to govern super-platform power."

$NVDA reports Q2’27 after the close. Options are pricing a 4.86% move, $250B in market value. Here is how NVIDIA traded one day after each of its last 12 reports: Q1’27: -1.8% 🔴 Q4’26: -5.5% 🔴 Q3’26: -3.2% 🔴 Q2’26: -0.8% 🔴 Q1’26: +3.2% 🟢 Q4’25: -8.5% 🔴 Q3’25: +0.5% 🟢 Q2’25: -6.4% 🔴 Q1’25: +9.3% 🟢 Q4’24: +16.4% 🟢 Q3’24: -2.5% 🔴 Q2’24: +0.1% 🟢

The World’s Biggest Mineral Fuel Producers in Million Metric Tons: 1. 🇨🇳 China: 4,812.6 2. 🇺🇸 United States: 2,277.2 3. 🇷🇺 Russia: 1,459.0 4. 🇮🇳 India: 1,142.8 5. 🇮🇩 Indonesia: 921.4 6. 🇦🇺 Australia: 614.6 7. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 594.2 8. 🇨🇦 Canada: 489.9 9. 🇮🇷 Iran: 457.1 10. 🇿🇦 South Africa: 234.0 11. 🇦🇪 UAE: 228.9 12. 🇮🇶 Iraq: 225.2 13. 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan: 224.2 14. 🇶🇦 Qatar: 211.8 15. 🇧🇷 Brazil: 196.6 16. 🇳🇴 Norway: 196.0 17. 🇰🇼 Kuwait: 154.8 18. 🇩🇿 Algeria: 146.8 19. 🇲🇽 Mexico: 119.2 20. 🇳🇬 Nigeria: 114.8 21. 🇨🇴 Colombia: 107.0 22. 🇲🇳 Mongolia: 104.4 23. 🇩🇪 Germany: 97.5 24. 🇵🇱 Poland: 89.3 25. 🇲🇾 Malaysia: 89.3 Mineral fuel: Steam coal, coking coal, lignite, petroleum, gas, uranium. Source: Austrian Ministry of Finance, mineral fuel production by country in 2024

June was a test of strategy, not just market direction. While $BTC and $ETH fell around 20%, Gate Wealth Management products continued to find opportunities. $GUSD yield stayed steady at 2.8%–3.0%, Gate Earn AUM remained at 1.5–1.6B $USDT, and Dual Investment Buy Low delivered up to 295% APY. Quant Funds and global stocks captured new opportunities across changing market conditions. More details: