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Top 10 networks by RWA active market cap and market share: 1) @Ethereum : $14.65B (58.4%) 2) @BNBCHAIN: $3.67B (14.6%) 3) @StellarOrg: $2.23B (8.9%) 4) @Solana: $2B (8%) 5) @Aptos: $847.9M (3.4%) 6) @avax: $494.7M (2%) 7) @Arbitrum: $331.5M (1.3%) 8) @Plasma: $303.3M (1.2%) 9) @SeiNetwork: $272.3M (1.1%) 10) @0xPolygon: $270.6M (1.1%) Note: RWA active market cap is calculated as onchain value actively exposed to market risk in the hands of users or protocols.
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MACY'S $M Q2’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $4.9B (Est. $4.83B) 🟢; +1.1% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.63; incl. $0.23 tariff refunds 🔹 Adj. EPS ex-Refund: $0.40 (Est. $0.37) 🟢 🔹 GAAP EPS: $0.62; +100% YoY; incl. refunds 🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $457M; incl. tariff refunds Raises FY26 Guide: 🔹 Revenue: $21.7B-$21.8B (Est. $21.91B) 🔴; from $21.5B-$21.75B 🔹 Adj. EBITDA Margin: 7.8%-8.0% (Est. 8.1%) 🔴; from 7.7%-7.9% 🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.15-$2.35 (Est. $2.25) 🟡; from $2.00-$2.20 🔹 Comparable Sales Change: 1.0% to 1.5%; from 0.5% to 1.2% Other Q2 Metrics: 🔹 Comparable Sales: +2.7% 🔹 Go-Forward Business Comps: +2.8% 🔹 Macy's Comps: +1.1% 🔹 Bloomingdale's Comps: +11.3% 🔹 Bluemercury Comps: +6.2% 🔹 Gross Margin: 41.5%; incl. 180 bps refunds Key Updates: 🔸 Tariff refunds: $98M of IEEPA refunds received in Q2 and $18M after quarter end ($116M total); the net benefit was $84M pre-tax, $0.23 per share after tax and 180 bps of gross margin — excluding it, adjusted EPS was $0.40, +14% YoY, and gross margin was up 10 bps; the FY26 guide reinvests the majority of the refunds, with ~$0.05 per share flowing through to adjusted EPS Comments: 🔸 “The investments we're making are driving results across our portfolio, from the continued outperformance of our Reimagine 200 Macy’s stores, to meaningful double-digit growth at Bloomingdale’s and another solid quarter at Bluemercury.”
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CHOOSE YOUR FIGHTER Warren Buffett vs Stanley Druckenmiller Buffett stepped down as Charman of Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B today. Druckenmiller has never had a losing year in more than 30 years. Here are their full portfolios as of Q2 2026. BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY - Apple $AAPL: 22% - American Express $AXP: 17% - Google $GOOGL: about 12.6% across both share classes - Coca-Cola $KO: 11% - Bank of America $BAC: 9.2% - Chevron $CVX: 4.7% - Occidental $OXY: 4.3% - Chubb $CB: 3.9% - Moody's $MCO: 3.7% - Kraft Heinz $KHC: 2.6% - DaVita $DVA: 2.1% - Delta $DAL: 1.8% - SiriusXM $SIRI: 1.2% - VeriSign $VRSN: 0.8% - Kroger $KR: 0.7% - Liberty Live $LLYVA: about 0.6% across both share classes - Ally $ALLY: 0.4% - Lennar $LEN: 0.4% - New York Times $NYT: 0.4% - Capital One $COF: 0.2% - Louisiana-Pacific $LPX: 0.1% - Nucor $NUE: 0.1% - Macy's $M: 0.1% - NVR $NVR - Jefferies $JEF - D.R. Horton $DHI DUQUESNE FAMILY OFFICE - Natera $NTRA: 17% - Insmed $INSM: about 5.7% in shares and calls - Taiwan Semi $TSM: 5.4% - Brazil ETF $EWZ: about 5.1% in shares and calls - Amazon $AMZN: about 4.6% in shares and calls - STMicro $STM: 4.5% - S&P 500 Equal Weight $RSP: about 3.7% in calls and shares - Fox $FOXA: about 2.8% across both share classes - YPF $REPYY: 2.7% - CDW $CDW: about 2.7% in shares and calls - BBB Foods $TBBB: 2.3% - Google $GOOGL: 2.3% - Seagate blockstack:native: 2.3% - United Airlines $UAL: 2.1% - Sea $SE: 2.0% - NewAmsterdam Pharma $NAMS: 2.0% - Russell 2000 ETF $IWM: 1.9% in calls - Sandisk $SNDK: 1.5% - Revolution Medicines $RVMD: 1.4% - S&P 500 ETF: 1.3% in calls - Bitdeer: 1.2% - CRH: 1.1% - Delta: 1.1% - Tesla $TSLA: 1.0% in calls - Fluor: 1.0% - D.R. Horton: 0.9% - Coupang: 0.9% - AMD: 0.8% - Palo Alto Networks: 0.8% - Cleveland-Cliffs: 0.8% - Hut 8: 0.7% - Caris Life Sciences: 0.6% - Argentina ETF: 0.6% - Woodward: 0.5% - Meta: 0.5% in calls - Nuvation Bio: 0.5% - Protagonist Therapeutics: 0.5% - Roku: 0.5% - Cavco: 0.5% - ADMA Biologics: 0.4% - Hyperliquid Strategies: 0.4% - Rambus: 0.4% - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals: 0.4% - Champion Homes: 0.4% - Daktronics: 0.4% - PureCycle: 0.4% - Southern Copper: 0.4% - Linde: 0.4% - Entegris: 0.4% - Teva: 0.4% - Unity: 0.4% - Aeva: 0.4% - Riot Platforms: 0.4% - Qnity Electronics: 0.4% - Equinix: 0.4% - Lam Research: 0.4% - Definium Therapeutics: 0.3% - Belite Bio: 0.3% - 10x Genomics: 0.3% - Wabtec: 0.3% - Eli Lilly: 0.3% - Xenon Pharmaceuticals: 0.3% - Olema Pharmaceuticals: 0.2% - Repligen: 0.2% - Rocket Companies: 0.2% - Baidu: 0.2% - Arm: 0.2% - Carvana: 0.2% - Reddit: 0.2% - Alcoa: 0.2% - Thermo Fisher: 0.2% - Danaher: 0.2% - F5: 0.2% - Vista Energy: 0.2% - Skeena Resources: 0.2% - JBS: 0.1% - Monte Rosa Therapeutics: 0.1% - Relay Therapeutics: 0.1% - DBV Technologies: 0.1% - CCC Intelligent Solutions: 0.1% - UWM Holdings: 0.1% - Navitas Semiconductor: 0.1% - Solstice Advanced Materials: 0.1% - FTAI Aviation: 0.1% - Beam Therapeutics: 0.1% - Aurora Innovation: 0.1% - IREN: 0.1% - Grupo Financiero Galicia: 0.1% - Wave Life Sciences: under 0.1% Both own Google, Delta and D.R. Horton. Neither owns Nvidia $NVDA.
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MACY'S $M JUST REPORTED Q2 EARNINGS - Revenue: $4.9B, beating est. of $4.83B 🟢 - Adj EPS: $0.63 (incl. $0.23 tariff refunds) - Adj EPS ex-Refund: $0.40 - GAAP EPS: $0.62 (+100% YoY) (incl. refunds) - Adj EBITDA: $457M (incl. tariff refunds) - Comparable Sales: +2.7% - Go-Forward Business Comps: +2.8% - Macy's Comps: +1.1% Raises FY26 Guidance: - Revenue: $21.7B-$21.8B, below est. of $21.91B 🔴 - Adj EBITDA Margin: 7.8%-8.0% (from 7.7%-7.9%) - Adj EPS: $2.15-$2.35, in line with est. of $2.25 🟡 - Comparable Sales Change: 1.0% to 1.5% (from 0.5% to 1.2%)
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CONAGRA BRANDS $CAG Q1’27 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $2.6B (Est. $2.59B) 🟢; -1.4% YoY 🔹 Organic Net Sales: -1.1% 🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.41 (Est. $0.28) 🟢; +5.1% YoY 🔹 Adj. Operating Margin: 11.5% 🔹 Adj. Oper Profit: $297.9M (Est. $235M) 🟢; -4.1% YoY 🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $451.4M (Est. $352M) 🟢; +2.4% YoY Affirms FY27 Guide: 🔹 Adj. EPS: $1.40-$1.50 (Est. $1.44) 🟡 🔹 Organic Net Sales: -3% to -1% YoY 🔹 Adj. Operating Margin: 10.0% to 10.5% 🔹 FCF Conversion: >90% 🔹 Net Leverage: ~4.0x Segment Net Sales: 🔹 Grocery & Snacks: $1.1B; -2.6% YoY 🔹 Refrigerated & Frozen: $1.1B; -2.1% YoY 🔹 International: $218.1M; +2.7% YoY 🔹 Foodservice: $272.9M; +3.2% YoY Key Updates: 🔹 Net Debt: $7.4B; -2.5% YoY 🔹 Dividend: $0.35/share Comments: 🔸 “While there is more work to be done, we remain on track to deliver the year and are reaffirming our fiscal 2027 guidance.”
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Last wk, S&P/Nas/Mag7 were +1.2%/+1.7%/+4.0% despite oil +4% & bond ylds +7bps on Iran flare-up. 2 days remain during this seasonally favorable time from the last 3 trading days of June through first 9 days of July. Earning season starts w/ big banks on Tuesday. As I first posted about on June 28th and reiterated on July 5th, the seasonality is historically very favorable from the last three trading days of June through the first nine trading days of July during which the S&P/Nasdaq have advanced 1.6%/2.5% and been up 78% of the time since 1985. The S&P/Nasdaq is up 3.0%/3.6% during the first 10 trading days of this time period in 2026 already. But for the heart of the AI trade, the Semiconductor (SOX) Index is down 7.0% during these last 10 trading days on fears of a “speed bump” that I have been posting about since 6/28. For the AI trade going forward, two separate thoughts with two different implications are beginning to coalesce in my mind. The first thought is that AI revenue growth for the leading LLM models is likely to hit a “speed bump” and slow in the September quarter. Last week, $SPCX and $META released new LLM models that both closed much of the gap with the leading edge models from OpenAI and Anthropic. But Meta plans to price their model at roughly 1/4th the cost of the two leaders with SpaceX aggressive as well. This is particularly relevant as companies switched from token maxing in March to token minimization in June. As an example, the CEO of Coinbase posted on June 26th, “How to keep AI spend flat while token usage grows exponentially... Putting this into practice has cut our AI spend nearly in half, while our token usage continues to grow.” Sam Altman on Thursday: “we have heard enterprises on their concerns about AI costs, and 5.6 sol is a huge step forward for dollars-per-task, as are terra and luna”. But on a positive note, two more public cloud providers have been recently added to the four that already existed of $AMZN, $GOOGL, $MSFT and $ORCL. SpaceX in the past month raised over $100B in equity plus debt and plans to spend hundreds of billions to attack the $28.5 trillion TAM they talked about in their IPO prospectus. News surrounding Meta last week seems to imply that they are launching a cloud offering not because they have excess compute but so 1) they can double their compute spend from 7 MegaWatts in 2026 to 14 MegaWatts in 2027 and 2) have capacity to sell their Muse Spark LLM. So in summary, with this seasonally favorable period of time for the overall market coming soon to a close, I believe cutting back excess exposure is prudent. Reaction by investors on Tuesday to bank earnings which should be strong, may give us a good tell as to the risk vs reward at current levels over the shorter-term. As for the AI trade, I believe selectivity is key as we work our way through the “speed bump” and the positive implications of 4 aggressive public cloud vendors now becoming six versus the negatives of token maxing in March turning to token minimization in June. All the best in the week ahead.
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Premarket movers Mag 7 names are all lower (Apple -0.1%, Alphabet -0.7%, Amazon -1.3%, Meta -1%, Microsoft -1.1%, Nvidia -1.3%, Tesla -1.2%) Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) rises 4% after Piper Sandler upgraded the biotech company to overweight, optimistic about the prospects for deramiocel, a treatment for Duchenne muscular dystrophy Charter Communications (CHTR) inches 1% lower after the cable operator said CFO Jessica Fischer will step down in mid October to relocate for another professional opportunity. Duolingo (DUOL) is up 6% after Evercore ISI upgraded the language-learning software company to outperform, noting investor opportunity following severe weakness in the stock, which is down more than 70% off a peak hit in mid-2025. Fervo Energy (FRVO) jumps 13% on a Wall Street Journal report that the geothermal company has signed a deal to sell power to Alphabet’s Google. GoPro (GPRO) soars 76%, with the stock set to extend gains after rallying more than 46% Monday. Kroger (KR) slips 1% after Citi analyst Paul Lejuez cut his price target on the grocer to a Street-low $57 from $61, and adds a downside 30-day catalyst watch on the stock ahead of Kroger’s Sept. 11 earnings report. Medtronic (MDT) gains 4% after the medical device maker boosted its organic revenue forecast for the full year. Micron Technology (MU) dips about 2% after the Taipei-based Liberty Times reported that Micron will deliver its highest incentive pay plan to its Taiwan-based employees in response to a potential strike by its labor union. NIO ADRs (NIO) slip 1% after the carmaker reported vehicle deliveries for August that were largely flat from the previous month. Robinhood Markets (HOOD) rises 2% after Morgan Stanley raised its recommendation on the exchange to overweight on growth from prediction markets.
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🚨 SlowMist TI Alert: FomoPeek App v1.1–1.2 Asset Theft 🚨 We have recently received multiple reports of users having assets stolen. Our investigation found that the affected cases involved private key exposure, and some of the users had previously installed and used @FomoPeek App versions 1.1–1.2. A joint investigation by the @SlowMist_Team and @okx security teams confirmed that the app contains malicious code.⚠️ Besides its normal features, FomoPeek includes two modules that are unrelated to its stated business functions. One of them contains an #iOS# kernel exploitation framework with eight different exploit methods. The framework can automatically choose an attack method based on the device model and iOS version. ‼️Affected iOS versions: iOS 12.0–18.7 and iOS 26.0–26.1.‼️ If the exploit succeeds, the app may escape the iOS sandbox, access and decrypt Keychain data, and read files belonging to other apps on the device. 🔐 This means sensitive data stored on the device, including private keys, seed phrases, login credentials, chat history, and files, may be exposed. The app also connects to hidden servers that are unrelated to its public-facing services and can receive remote commands. Based on plaintext traffic captured during our analysis, the attack functionality is currently enabled and runs automatically at regular intervals. In general, devices running older iOS versions are at higher risk. If you have installed or used FomoPeek versions 1.1–1.2, we recommend that you take action immediately: 1️⃣ Check your accounts and assets for any unusual activity. 2️⃣ On a trusted device where FomoPeek has never been installed, create a new account and generate a new private key and seed phrase. 3️⃣ Move your assets to the new account as soon as possible. 4️⃣ Update your device to the latest available iOS version. 5️⃣ Do not continue using or reinstalling FomoPeek. 6️⃣ If you notice any suspicious asset activity, contact the official support team of the relevant platform and keep the affected device and related evidence for further investigation.
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China’s retail sales of consumer goods climbed 1.2% in the first seven months from the same period last year to CNY28.78 trillion (USD4.27 trillion), the NBS said today. Excluding automobiles, the figure advanced 2.7% to CNY26.51 trillion (USD3.93 trillion). Retail sales of consumer goods edged up 0.6% to CNY3.9 trillion (USD578 billion) in July.
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