We are 265 days past the Bitcoin all-time high.
The median time between Bitcoin all-time highs since 2016 is one day.
That number is worthless, and understanding why is the entire point.
When Bitcoin runs, it stamps new records on back-to-back daily closes. 60% of all-time-high days are immediately followed by another one the next day. The median drowns in them.
The real question is what happens once a run ends: how long until you see green on the far side of the peak?
Since 2016, there have been exactly five of those waits.
2018 bear: 1,080 days
2022 bear: 847 days
2024 consolidation: 238 days
Mid-2021, China ban: 189 days
Early-2025 dip: 154 days
Median: 238 days. Mean: 502, hauled upward by the two bear markets that swallowed years apiece.
The "average" wait is a fiction. What actually exists is a fork.
Either Bitcoin reclaims in roughly seven months, or you sit in purgatory for two to three years. The distribution barely bothers to visit the middle.
We are 265 days past the October 6th peak.
You have already outlasted every consolidation on the board.
The only droughts that ran longer than where you are standing right now were full-blown bear markets, 2018 and 2022.
The question is no longer whether this is a dip. It is which movie you walked into. The data does not get to tell you that part.
All it confirms is that the box office quietly stopped selling tickets to the short version about a month ago.
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Colombia quake death toll hits 265, as rescuers race against the clock -SCMP
Colombia quake death toll hits 265, as rescuers race against the clock
🏆 LIFETIME CERTIFICATE ACHIEVED 🏆
💰 $5,265 earned through discipline, consistency, and execution.
A huge milestone and one that's incredibly well deserved!
🔥 Congratulations to this trader!
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Families wait outside a morgue in Columbia's Palmira after an earthquake on August 10 killed 265 people and left scores missing. A grieving relative said there was no contingency plan, and broken refrigerators were causing bodies to rot
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A developer in China named tw93 got tired of his laptop dying.
He would open Slack and watch 524 megabytes of disk space disappear. He would open Discord and watch another 265. He would open Notion and watch 800 megabytes of RAM evaporate before he had typed a single word.
He looked into why.
Every "desktop app" on his computer was the same thing. A website wrapped in a full copy of the Chrome browser engine. The framework is called Electron. An empty Electron app starts at 150 megabytes of RAM before you click anything. With twelve of them open, his laptop was running twelve copies of the same browser.
He thought there had to be a better way.
So in 2022, he started building one.
He called it Pake. Two characters in Chinese mean "packaging." He wrote it in Rust on top of a framework called Tauri. The idea was simple. Point Pake at any webpage. Get a desktop app. Without dragging an entire browser engine into the binary.
The first version of Slack he wrapped with it was 8 megabytes.
Not 524. Eight.
That is what 20 times smaller looks like.
Four years later, his repo has 50,594 stars. 6,144 forks. The license is MIT. The last commit was yesterday.
The bio on his GitHub reads: "Anything added dilutes everything else."
Today the Pake releases page contains pre-built apps for ChatGPT, Discord, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, Twitter, YouTube, Excalidraw, Flomo, WeChat, and twelve more. All under 10 megabytes. All native. All free.
Or you point Pake at any URL you want and it builds one for you in one command.
Slack's desktop app: 524 megabytes.
Pake-built Slack: 8 megabytes.
Discord's desktop app: 265 megabytes.
Pake-built Discord: 9 megabytes.
ChatGPT for Windows: 260 megabytes.
Pake-built ChatGPT: 9 megabytes.
tw93 is one person. He has 11,305 followers on GitHub. He runs a blog at He has shipped 39 public repos. He still pushes commits to Pake every week.
He did not start a company. He did not raise money. He did not write a Medium post about how Electron is dead.
He just shipped the thing that made it true.
(Link in the comments)
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🔥 Wildfires and landscape fires area burnt YTD as of August 1, 2026 (hectares):
1. 🇨🇩 DR of Congo: 13,611,126
2. 🇦🇺 Australia: 11,801,650
3. 🇦🇴 Angola: 7,473,034
4. 🇸🇸 South Sudan: 6,955,022
5. 🇨🇫 Central African Republic: 6,017,881
6. 🇲🇲 Myanmar: 4,325,702
7. 🇮🇳 India: 4,029,704
8. 🇷🇺 Russia: 3,335,029
9. 🇬🇳 Guinea: 3,250,992
10. 🇿🇲 Zambia: 3,213,687
11. 🇻🇪 Venezuela: 2,977,466
12. 🇳🇬 Nigeria: 2,807,200
13. 🇹🇭 Thailand: 2,669,550
14. 🇱🇦 Laos: 2,641,321
15. 🇺🇸 United States: 2,371,207
16. 🇨🇳 China: 2,265,057
17. 🇨🇦 Canada: 2,031,754
18. 🇧🇷 Brazil: 2,030,209
19. 🇪🇹 Ethiopia: 1,851,131
20. 🇬🇭 Ghana: 1,763,395
21. 🇰🇭 Cambodia: 1,525,312
22. 🇲🇱 Mali: 1,490,698
23. 🇨🇲 Cameroon: 1,435,373
24. 🇹🇩 Chad: 1,309,155
25. 🇲🇽 Mexico: 1,264,823
Source: Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS) via Our World in Data
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BREAKING: US job openings dropped -178,000 in June, to 7.36 million, the lowest since March.
This marks the 2nd consecutive monthly decline, bringing the total drop to -226,000.
The decline was driven by private education and health services, as well as leisure and hospitality, which fell -133,000 and -86,000, respectively.
This was followed by wholesale trade and professional and business services, which declined -74,000 and -71,000, respectively.
Despite the decline, there are still 265,000 more available vacancies than unemployed workers, the 2nd-largest difference since January 2025.
As a result, the ratio of job openings to unemployed workers remains at 1.0, the highest since January 2025.
The labor market is becoming increasingly unstable.
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