Memory stocks are crashing as Samsung Electronics plunges -8.7% after investors were disappointed by its shareholder return plan. The selloff is spreading across the US memory stocks: $SNDK -10% $STX -8% $WDC -7.5% $MU -7.3% $SKHY -6%

ZEROBASE WEEKLY 8.24-8.30 ZBT traded in a relatively tight $0.075–$0.082 band through most of the week before a late bounce toward $0.083–$0.086 on August 30. Crypto market capitalization held in a $2.62T–$2.78T range after the prior week’s sharp expansion, settling near $2.63T–$2.70T by the weekend. The week was a classic digest-and-test sequence: residual bid from the prior 22% Bitcoin surge, a probe of resistance above $81,000, then a hawkish-policy fade. Bitcoin opened the week near $77,700 on August 24, advanced through $80,000, and printed a three-month high around $81,300–$81,455 on August 25–28 before reversing. The Friday close near $77,840 reflected a roughly 3% session drop after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks. By Sunday, Bitcoin had recovered into the $78,200–$78,800 zone, leaving the week modestly higher from Monday’s open but well off the highs. Ethereum moved in parallel, starting near $2,460, tagging the mid-$2,500s, sliding toward $2,420–$2,440 on August 28, and finishing near $2,450–$2,480. Derivatives confirmed the late-week de-risking. Friday saw about $488 million in liquidations, overwhelmingly longs, across nearly 98,000 traders. Open interest stayed elevated after the prior week’s short-squeeze, while funding on major pairs flipped from constructive to more cautious as hike odds repriced. Macro and geopolitics dominated the tape. The Jackson Hole symposium (August 27–29) was the focal point. Warsh, in his first keynote as Fed chair, called the 2% inflation target a “firm, fixed” objective, said forward guidance had “overstayed its welcome,” and warned that policymakers “have work to do” if underlying inflation does not move to target “clearly and at sufficient speed.” July PCE remained sticky at 3.7% year-over-year (core 3.3%). CME-implied odds of a September rate hike jumped from about 35% to around 57%. Two-year yields rose, the dollar strengthened, and risk assets faded into the Friday close. Other data mixed the picture: initial jobless claims fell to 203,000, supporting labor resilience, while July new-home sales dropped 10.5% under high borrowing costs. Trade friction intensified after the U.S. moved toward 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion of Canadian goods following collapsed talks. Washington also widened Iran-related sanctions; oil still posted its first weekly decline in three weeks, with WTI near $83.40 and Brent near $89.30 as Hormuz-related risk was reassessed. Gold firmed toward $4,500. U.S. equities finished the week modestly higher despite Friday’s pullback. The S&P 500 closed Friday at 7,711.76 (−0.25%), the Dow near 53,560 (essentially flat on the day), and the Nasdaq weaker. Nvidia’s fiscal second-quarter print was the offset: revenue of $96.2 billion, data-center revenue of $89 billion, and guidance that produced an 8.7% single-session jump and a roughly $442 billion one-day rise in market value—one of the largest on record. That AI bid kept Communication Services and Tech among the week’s better sectors even as rate-sensitive names and the Russell 2000 lagged. Institutional flows remained the structural support, then cracked at the margin. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $337.6 million on August 24, $314.4 million on the 25th, $232.1 million on the 26th and $242.2 million on the 27th, before a $201.8 million outflow on August 28 ended a nine-session, roughly $3 billion inflow streak. The August 24–28 trading week still netted about $924.5 million. ARK 21Shares led Friday redemptions (−$114.9 million), followed by Bitwise and a modest IBIT outflow. Ethereum ETFs did not follow: they added about $102 million on August 28 and extended a 10-day inflow run. Solana and XRP products also stayed in positive flow on the reversal day. Crypto Fear & Greed spent the week in greed rather than the fear readings of mid-August, oscillating roughly in the mid-60s to high-70s and ending near 69–76. On-chain data continued to show a holder split. Wallets with 100+ BTC added more than 39,000 BTC over the recent week, extending a 60-day accumulation of about 43,000 BTC (larger cohorts above 10,000 BTC added even more over that window). Retail-sized wallets (0.1–1 BTC) remained in distribution, with accumulation-trend scores near −0.98. Exchange flows flipped positive on the Friday dump (net coins onto venues) and quieter thereafter. A large share of supply remains dormant; long-term holder behavior stayed more constructive than the short-term cohort that sold into strength. In summary, August 24–30 was a consolidation week after Bitcoin’s strongest weekly dollar advance in years. Spot prices tested $81,000, ETF demand stayed heavy until Friday, and whales absorbed retail supply. The Warsh speech reintroduced rate-hike risk, ended the BTC ETF streak, and forced long liquidations—without breaking the higher range established the week before. Sticky 3.7% PCE, U.S.–Canada tariff escalation, and residual Middle East energy risk keep the macro overlay two-sided.

Dow Jones Top Performers of 2026 So Far: 1. Caterpillar: +47.6% 2. Cisco: +45.7% 3. Merck: +37% 4. Chevron: +35.6% 5. Nvidia: +25.4% 6. Travelers: +24.2% 7. Johnson & Johnson: +23.7% 8. Amgen: +23.1% 9. Apple: +22.7% 10. Coca-Cola: +22.5%

Japan's Inward FDI. What the Rising Trend Means Why Inward FDI Matters When a foreign company builds a factory in Japan or acquires a Japanese firm, more happens than a simple inflow of money Foreign management know how, technology, and access to global supply chains tend to come with it, and these can spread to domestic firms, supporting higher productivity and new jobs Direct investment differs from short term trading in stocks or bonds. It involves a long term commitment to a factory or a business unit, so its effect on the underlying strength of an economy tends to last longer What the Ratio to GDP Shows Inward FDI stock divided by nominal GDP shows how much of an economy is under some form of foreign ownership control, relative to its size A higher ratio is often read as a sign that a country is easier for foreign firms to enter, in terms of regulation and business practice Japan's ratio has stayed unusually low for a long time by international standards According to UNCTAD data, Japan ranked 198th out of 201 countries and regions in 2020. Only Iraq, North Korea, and Zimbabwe ranked lower This is part of the reason the Japanese government has made expanding inward FDI a national policy goal How to Read the Upward Trend The ratio stood at 3.7% in 2010 and reached 8.7% in 2025, more than doubling over fifteen years The rise has continued since 2020, when the ratio was 7.2%, adding another 1.5 percentage points over the past five years The absolute level is still low, but this fifteen year rise, and especially the pace over the last five years, is something JPARCVUE views positively There is a common criticism of this trend. Profits earned by foreign affiliated firms in Japan will eventually be sent home as dividends, and this could become a source of yen selling later on JPARCVUE sees this concern as premature. Japan's inward FDI is only now starting to move, from a level that was unusually low by international standards Worrying about future profit repatriation before the investment itself has built up looks like the wrong order of priorities It makes more sense to first grow the volume of investment, and deal with repatriation issues once they actually become a problem, in JPARCVUE's view This is not a fast moving topic like currency or stock prices, and the numbers involved can seem unremarkable Even so, JPARCVUE thinks general reporting could give this more attention than it currently gets Specialist economic media and government reports do cover it regularly, but its importance does not seem to reach a wider audience This remains an important factor for Japan's long term, stable economic growth, and JPARCVUE believes it is worth continued attention Source: Ministry of Finance and Bank of Japan, International Investment Position of Japan; Cabinet Office, National Accounts of Japan. Country ranking based on UNCTAD data cited by Japan's Cabinet Office (2020).

PLTR September seasonality (since IPO): Avg return: +7.6% Win rate: 4/5 (80%) Median: +6.8% 2021: -8.7% 2022: +5.3% 2023: +6.8% 2024: +18.2% 2025: +16.4% One of its stronger months. Short sample, high-beta name — not a guarantee! $PLTR

Let's check in on @monad Stablecoin Yields Lending (@Morpho) ► 7% @hyperithm USDC ► 8% @august_digital USDC V2 ► 7.3% @SteakhouseFi USD1 @Curvance Lending ► AUSD (earnAUSD Collateral): 8.3% ► AUSD (vUSD Collateral): 8% ► USDC (savUSD Collateral): 7.75% @Curvance Collateral ► earnAUSD: 9% ► vUSD: 8% ► savUSD: 7.3% ► syzUSD: 7.2% Misc Loops: ► @reservoir_xyz wsrUSD/USD1: 15% ► @upshift_fi earnAUSD/USDC: 32%

Last wk, S&P/Nas/Mag7 +0.4%/+0.1%/-0.8%. Cooler inflation (CPI, PPI) & economic data (consumer sentiment, retail sales) but +5% oil steepened the yield curve but lowered odds of a rate hike. Looking forward, I continue to believe the impact of Agentic AI with the advent of OpenClaw on January 30th has at least a year to run: 1) Token production has gone up roughly ~7.5x from the end of January more than offsetting the nearly 50% token cost reduction seen since open-weight model usage started to take off in May. 2) Combined annualized run-rate revenues for OpenAI and Anthropic which ended last year at $29B seems to be around $100B currently with Anthropic getting profitable in Q2. 3) Capex from the Big6 hyperscalers accelerated from 84% y/y/ in CQ1 to 92% in CQ2 with forecasts for nearly 100% in Q3. But this is being supported by cloud revenue growth at the 3 Big Public cloud vendors of $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL accelerating from 23% y/y in Q1:25 to 35% in Q1:26 to 43% in Q2:26. Arguable more important is public cloud operating margins expanded from 34% to 37% and 39% during those time periods. 4) The $500B financing deal backstopped by up to $125B from $NVDA adds even more lower cost money to fund AI capex spend for the non-hyperscaler players. Nvidia gained 0.5% last week. 5) The liquidation of Situational Awareness and retail accounts during July cleared out some of the frothiness in the AI related names In terms of negatives: 1) The cost of money (yields on government bonds) remain near the highest levels for the 30 yr tenor at 5.3% since 2007. 2) Given large scale offensive US military actions are seemingly off the tablein favor of financial sanctions, probably driven by current election polls, I now believe Iran is likely to hold the Strait of Hormuz hostage until past the US mid-terms. This would be akin to them releasing the US hostages in 1981 (they were held for 444 days) just hours after President Reagan was sworn in replacing Carter. There were severe financial sanctions then also. 3) Since 1990, which happens to be the Gulf War, from the end of July through November 9th, which covers the reaction to all mid-term results, the performance is worse than non mid-term years. For mid-term years the median S&P500 gain from 7/31-11/9 is 0.9% with gains 56% of the time but the median peak loss from 7/31 is 6.2% (intra-period median peak loss of 9.9%.) For non mid-term years the median gain is 2.7% from 7/31-11/9 with gains 59% of the time and the median peak loss from 7/31 is 3.5% (intra-period median peak loss of 5.2%.) This year with the momentum seen by the Socialists which are not big business friendly, I see more risk than normal. 4) The easy money on the AI technical rebound from oversold levels on 7/29 due to the forced sale by Situation Awareness is probably over. There were negative stock reactions to headline beat and raise earnings on both revs & EPS for AI infrastructure winners $CSCO (-8% for the week but still up +45% YTD), $AMAT (-6%/+97%) and $COHR (-14%/+77%). While negatives can always be found, their biggest crime was arguably their recent bounce from 7/29-8/7 of 8%, 24% and 71% respectively and their market beating YTD gains. In summary, I remain bullish. Even from the end of July through November 9th during mid-term years since 1990, the S&P has an additional median gain of 4.2% to its peak before giving some of that back closer to the election. Given some of the negatives, especially the reaction to solid earnings data, I would add some hedges back on further market gains and get more selective. Consumer discretionary hedges should also make sense if oil is higher for longer. I believe value should continue to accrue to the infrastructure layer which includes 1) the public cloud vendors such as Amazon, Microsoft, Google and 2) the semiconductor companies. $INTC, my favorite semi company, still gained 0.8% last week despite: 1) a $20B equity offering which causes ~5% dilution and 2) being up 178% YTD. This clears the funding overhang. All the best in the week ahead.

CHOOSE YOUR FIGHTER Warren Buffett vs Stanley Druckenmiller Buffett stepped down as Charman of Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B today. Druckenmiller has never had a losing year in more than 30 years. Here are their full portfolios as of Q2 2026. BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY - Apple $AAPL: 22% - American Express $AXP: 17% - Google $GOOGL: about 12.6% across both share classes - Coca-Cola $KO: 11% - Bank of America $BAC: 9.2% - Chevron $CVX: 4.7% - Occidental $OXY: 4.3% - Chubb $CB: 3.9% - Moody's $MCO: 3.7% - Kraft Heinz $KHC: 2.6% - DaVita $DVA: 2.1% - Delta $DAL: 1.8% - SiriusXM $SIRI: 1.2% - VeriSign $VRSN: 0.8% - Kroger $KR: 0.7% - Liberty Live $LLYVA: about 0.6% across both share classes - Ally $ALLY: 0.4% - Lennar $LEN: 0.4% - New York Times $NYT: 0.4% - Capital One $COF: 0.2% - Louisiana-Pacific $LPX: 0.1% - Nucor $NUE: 0.1% - Macy's $M: 0.1% - NVR $NVR - Jefferies $JEF - D.R. Horton $DHI DUQUESNE FAMILY OFFICE - Natera $NTRA: 17% - Insmed $INSM: about 5.7% in shares and calls - Taiwan Semi $TSM: 5.4% - Brazil ETF $EWZ: about 5.1% in shares and calls - Amazon $AMZN: about 4.6% in shares and calls - STMicro $STM: 4.5% - S&P 500 Equal Weight $RSP: about 3.7% in calls and shares - Fox $FOXA: about 2.8% across both share classes - YPF $REPYY: 2.7% - CDW $CDW: about 2.7% in shares and calls - BBB Foods $TBBB: 2.3% - Google $GOOGL: 2.3% - Seagate blockstack:native: 2.3% - United Airlines $UAL: 2.1% - Sea $SE: 2.0% - NewAmsterdam Pharma $NAMS: 2.0% - Russell 2000 ETF $IWM: 1.9% in calls - Sandisk $SNDK: 1.5% - Revolution Medicines $RVMD: 1.4% - S&P 500 ETF: 1.3% in calls - Bitdeer: 1.2% - CRH: 1.1% - Delta: 1.1% - Tesla $TSLA: 1.0% in calls - Fluor: 1.0% - D.R. Horton: 0.9% - Coupang: 0.9% - AMD: 0.8% - Palo Alto Networks: 0.8% - Cleveland-Cliffs: 0.8% - Hut 8: 0.7% - Caris Life Sciences: 0.6% - Argentina ETF: 0.6% - Woodward: 0.5% - Meta: 0.5% in calls - Nuvation Bio: 0.5% - Protagonist Therapeutics: 0.5% - Roku: 0.5% - Cavco: 0.5% - ADMA Biologics: 0.4% - Hyperliquid Strategies: 0.4% - Rambus: 0.4% - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals: 0.4% - Champion Homes: 0.4% - Daktronics: 0.4% - PureCycle: 0.4% - Southern Copper: 0.4% - Linde: 0.4% - Entegris: 0.4% - Teva: 0.4% - Unity: 0.4% - Aeva: 0.4% - Riot Platforms: 0.4% - Qnity Electronics: 0.4% - Equinix: 0.4% - Lam Research: 0.4% - Definium Therapeutics: 0.3% - Belite Bio: 0.3% - 10x Genomics: 0.3% - Wabtec: 0.3% - Eli Lilly: 0.3% - Xenon Pharmaceuticals: 0.3% - Olema Pharmaceuticals: 0.2% - Repligen: 0.2% - Rocket Companies: 0.2% - Baidu: 0.2% - Arm: 0.2% - Carvana: 0.2% - Reddit: 0.2% - Alcoa: 0.2% - Thermo Fisher: 0.2% - Danaher: 0.2% - F5: 0.2% - Vista Energy: 0.2% - Skeena Resources: 0.2% - JBS: 0.1% - Monte Rosa Therapeutics: 0.1% - Relay Therapeutics: 0.1% - DBV Technologies: 0.1% - CCC Intelligent Solutions: 0.1% - UWM Holdings: 0.1% - Navitas Semiconductor: 0.1% - Solstice Advanced Materials: 0.1% - FTAI Aviation: 0.1% - Beam Therapeutics: 0.1% - Aurora Innovation: 0.1% - IREN: 0.1% - Grupo Financiero Galicia: 0.1% - Wave Life Sciences: under 0.1% Both own Google, Delta and D.R. Horton. Neither owns Nvidia $NVDA.

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Weak Spending Power Keeps Thai Business Confidence Near 35-Month Low Weak purchasing power, high household debt and rising costs kept the Thai Chamber of Commerce Confidence Index near a 35-month low in July. The index edged up to 41.5 from 41.4 in June, based on a survey of 369 businesses and chamber representatives nationwide. Thailand’s household debt stood at 16.41 trillion baht, or 85.9% of GDP, in the first quarter. Headline inflation rose 1.95% year-on-year in July, while producer prices jumped 7.3%, indicating that businesses faced sharply higher costs but had limited room to raise prices because of weak demand. The government said Thai Chuay Thai Plus generated 111.88 billion baht in transactions by August 12, including 64.35 billion baht in state subsidies and 47.53 billion baht in consumer contributions. However, the co-payment scheme has failed to produce a meaningful improvement in business confidence amid sluggish incomes, subdued provincial economies and weak tourism. The separate Consumer Confidence Index rose to 51.8 from 50.7, marking a second consecutive monthly increase. Its economic outlook component rose to 45.3 from 44.1, employment prospects to 49.8 from 48.7 and future income expectations to 60.5 from 59.3, although all remained below the neutral level of 100. #Thailand# #ดัชนีความเชื่อมั่นหอการค้าไทย#