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@nvidia reports Q2 earnings on Wednesday, and
@Polymarket has eleven contracts on the result.
The earnings beat is priced at 96% and has barely moved since the contract opened on 13 August. Where traders still disagree is the data centre revenue ladder: above $85B went from 55% to 91% in a single session, while above $90B sits at 25%.
28 companies carry the same earnings beat contract this week. Odds mostly track consensus, with the median across the 14 technology names at 93% and only HP at 72% and Marvell at 77% below 80%. The exceptions are what make these markets particularly worth following.
Every earnings market, and every other market on
@Kalshi and Polymarket, sits in one normalized dataset on Dune: