Earnings Takeaways Note - ASE (ASX US, 3711 TT)
* Reiterates Buy; TP lowered to NT$754.
* 2Q26 inline: Revenue NT$191bn (+10% QoQ, +27% YoY), EPS NT$4.8 (+48% QoQ, +177% YoY).
* Strong 3Q26 guidance: Revenue +21–22% QoQ, led by EMS +40% QoQ and ATM +11–13% QoQ.
ATM margin to reach 28–29%, supported by AI-driven LEAP demand, high utilization, and pricing.
* LEAP (advanced packaging) outlook raised: Mgmt believes LEAP revenue run rate is ahead of guidance and guide it to DOUBLE in 2027.
* We lift 2026/27E LEAP revenue increased to US$3.8bn/7.7bn (vs. prior US$3.6bn/6.4bn).
* AMD Venice (~5–5.5M CPUs supply chain builds) and Nvidia Vera to support Full Process growth in 2027z
* Capex raised by another US$2bn.
* we maintain 2.5D capacity forecast: 15K/45K/55K WPM by end-2026/27/28.
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