Accurate modeling of CO₂ storage in the subsurface is a critical challenge for scaling Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). 🌎 But here’s the catch: the inverse problem (recovering geological properties from sparse field observations) is severely ill-posed. 🤒 Traditional approaches either struggle with the scarcity of measured data or are too computationally expensive. 💸
In our new work, we introduce Fun-DDPS (Function-space Decoupled Diffusion Posterior Sampling), a generative framework that decouples the problem into two parts: a function-space diffusion model that learns a prior over geological parameters, and a differentiable Local Neural Operator surrogate for physics modeling and conditioning. ✨
Why does the decoupling matter? The diffusion prior handles the heavy lifting of recovering missing geological information, while the neural operator surrogate makes data assimilation fast and physically grounded — no expensive full-physics simulations in the loop.
Key results on synthetic CCS datasets:
⏩ 11x improvement in forward modeling with only 25% observations
✅ Robust inverse modeling for data assimilation under sparse, noisy conditions
🔥 First rigorous validation of diffusion-based inverse solvers against asymptotically exact Rejection Sampling (RS) posteriors
This points toward a scalable, practical path for uncertainty-aware subsurface characterization — something the CCS community needs as projects move from pilots to full-scale deployment.
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Huge kudos to my amazing collaborators — this work wouldn’t have been possible without them:
@IsaacJu13 @AnimaAnandkumar Sally M Benson
@ggg_www_
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CarbonCapture# #
CO2Sequestration# #
MachineLearning# #
DiffusionModels# #
NeuralOperators# #
AI4Science# #
CCS# #
Sustainability#