Earnings Takeaways Note - FORM
* 2Q26 beat across the board: Revenue $258.2M and 53.3% GM exceeded expectations
* 3Q26 guided to ~$270M revenue with margins expanding to 54%.
* AI recovery gaining traction: AI probe card share continues to rise, with stronger CPU and CPO demand supporting the next growth leg.
* Rubin & Intel are key catalysts: Expect 10%+ share on Nvidia Rubin, further gains with Rubin Ultra/Humusfish, while Intel’s 18A ramp drives server CPU probe card demand and 20–30% pricing upside from node migration.
* HBM to reaccelerate: Memory mix shifts toward DDR in 3Q26, but HBM revenue is expected to reach a record high in 4Q26 with next-gen AI platform ramps.
* CPO momentum accelerating: Management expects CPO revenue to hit the high end of FY26 guidance by 3Q26, driven by Triton adoption and insertion leadership.
* Valuation: Shares have corrected 38% from the peak and now trade at 25x 2027E P/E (vs. 33x/42x for MPI/Technoprobe), offering an attractive risk/reward.
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