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Guangzhou shipbuilding secures global orders, driven by smart manufacturing and green technology. At Guangzhou Shipyard International (GSI), order backlog approaches RMB 100 billion, with deliveries scheduled through 2030, over 95% of orders come from overseas clients. Smart manufacturing has boosted efficiency dramatically: GSI’s intelligent production line requires only 50 workers per shift, compared to 200 previously, achieving 2.4 times the productivity. On the green front, GSI’s 10,800-car LNG dual-fuel carrier cuts carbon emissions by more than 30% versus conventional fuel-oil ships, setting a new benchmark for low-carbon shipping. Customs clearance has also been upgraded: the Nansha port’s new “zero-delay” model saves an average of 9 hours and over RMB 800,000 per vessel, accelerating exports. #GuangdongGoodsGlobalReach#
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Just a reminder from optical earnings: -> $LITE: "Lasers will remain effectively sold out for the foreseeable future despite our rapid capacity expansion." -> $COHR: "The demand is robust across almost every single product across data center and comms, and it is really just a matter of whether we can sell as fast as we can ramp production.” -> $AAOI: Revenue "bounded almost entirely by our production capacity and key component availability". I'm personally expecting additional margin expansion for the optical players in the coming quarters thanks to their pricing power + higher ASP products e.g. 3.2T initial volumes coming online next year. You've also got LTAs minimizing cyclicality fears, with $LITE and $COHR until 2030 and $AAOI doing 3 year LTAs with a handful of customers. Feels like everything's set up for success right now, confirmed w/ new GS TAM forecasts today being revised-up by over 100% for 2028. For a TLDR: continued growth is due to ramp ups for rack-level AI servers + AI ASICs w/ higher attach ratios of optical modules. On top of this, $NVDA GB200 uses 400G-1.6T, with Rubin and Rubin Ultra migrating further to 1.6T and 3.2T. All driving the adoption of higher speed transceivers as Nvidia rack volumes scale up in 2026-28. Then looking at ASIC users, $GOOGL and $META are expanding 800G+ w/ Google being an early adopter fpr 1.6T. It's also expected that Meta use more Optical transceivers per ASIC vs. GPUs (i.e. on GPU servers typically there are 2-3 optical transceivers per GPU) per GS. I still think that these optical players are all about capacity expansion moving forwards. The sooner they add capacity, the faster the fabs ramp. Side note - I personally don't think pricing power will be impacted as a result. The name of the game lately is to undersupply vs. demand to capture margins, and they all know those demand dynamics better than anyone.
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