Ron Baron, who I consider to be the GOAT of investing, is super bullish on SpaceX’s Starlink.
“Starlink is going to be the internet for the entire world.”
There are 8 billion people on Earth today, 3 billion still have no internet, and much of the other 5 billion still has poor or unreliable service. Also, Starlink has the ability to reach the places terrestrial networks can’t economically serve, like oceans, mountains, deserts, airplanes, basically anywhere on Earth.
These are Baron’s numbers:
• $15-17B revenue today
• $1 TRILLION in annual revenue within 10 years
• 20-25% consumer
• 40% government
• 40% enterprise
• $700–800B in annual profits/EBITDA
His conclusion is that he thinks “Starlink alone will be worth somewhere around $14 trillion.”
Meanwhile, the entire SpaceX company is valued at less than $2 trillion today…
And the real holy grail behind all this is reusable rockets.
SpaceX can launch, replace, and expand its satellite network at a cost competitors simply can’t match. That advantage compounds as the constellation gets larger, faster, and more capable.
Baron is calling SpaceX the most unique business he has seen in his entire 56-year career.
I agree.
Today’s SpaceX valuation is going to look absurdly cheap in hindsight.