Weekly|SNOW Data Flywheel & CoCo, Optics Scale-In, BE Delivery Debate, Enterprise AI Vol.2, CRDO/MDB/PANW
The software vs semi split that defined last week finally started to rebalance. Software that printed what the channel had been pointing to kept working through most of the week, while the semi tape spent the first half getting tagged by rates — the 10-year pushed to 4.8% on Tuesday, the highest since January 2025, after Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole turn had traders pricing hikes rather than cuts. By Friday the setup flipped: semis clearly outperformed, and memory names broke out. Near-term software short cover looks largely done, the outperformance looks stretched, and the momentum unwind in semis has already gone to an extreme — which leaves less of that particular overhang in the names that got hit hardest.
On the software prints, SNOW was the cleanest expression of the channel read. We went into the print cautious on 2Q because of tough comps and more constructive on 3Q, and the flywheel was stronger than even that. Product revenue grew 37% year over year, a 5.2% beat that matched last quarter, and the full-year product-revenue guide jumped from 31% to 36%, one of the largest annual raises in the company’s history. CoCo is no longer a product call. Accounts passed 9,100 with more than 2,000 net adds in the quarter, CoWork is at 5,800, and customers are consolidating transactional data onto the platform. Our preview had CoCo adding about two points this quarter; the print confirmed the direction and then some. The data flywheel is what we think the multiple should be underwriting, not a single SKU.
Optics is the other narrative that actually moved, and it moved inward. Scale-in, as Lumentum’s CEO put it, is the thing to watch over the next 12 to 18 months: optical links inside the tray, targeting memory-class bandwidth, roughly 10x scale-up per GPU. NVIDIA has already written $2bn checks into Lumentum and Coherent; Marvell’s Celestial AI deal and the Google warrant, which discloses memory interface controllers and near-memory compute, are the capital trail. CRDO’s print sits in the same stack from the other end: a record quarter, Q2 guide above the Street, optics still a 2H ramp.
On power, the AIDC demand debate is over. Bloom’s multiple has already reset from about 85x to 42x forward EV/EBITDA after the July shorts, and the stock has not re-rated on the 2Q beat-and-raise. We think the question is now whether Bloom can convert booked slots into shippable MW. We model about 2.7GW of year-end 2027 manufacturing capacity and 2.2GW of 2027 deliveries against 2.0GW consensus. Scandium looks manageable; service capacity is the overlooked constraint. Enterprise AI is splitting the same way the tape is: Vol.2 went out on Substack this week, spend is still growing, and the samples have diverged. Production-tied use cases keep adding; per-head allowances are getting cut. The increment is in APIs and production workflows, and ROI only converts into a budget when hours saved cross a threshold large enough to reallocate a person, about 30%, which is why some CFOs are already holding the total IT envelope flat.
This Week’s Reports
Optics — scale-in puts optical links inside the tray, and the bandwidth it targets is roughly 10x scale-up per GPU. Lumentum’s CEO called it the thing to watch over the next 12 to 18 months; NVIDIA’s $2bn checks into Lumentum and Coherent, and Marvell’s Google warrant covering memory interface controllers, are the capital already moving.
Preview & Review | SNOW FY27Q2: Beyond a Single Product, a Data Flywheel That Merits a Longer Horizon. Product revenue grew 37% YoY and beat sell-side by 5.2%, with the full-year product-revenue guide raised from 31% to 36%. Our preview had CoCo still very strong and called 35% growth, a 4-point beat versus guidance; the print confirmed the CoCo-to-flywheel read, with CoCo accounts above 9,100 and CoWork at 5,800.
Bloom — the AIDC demand debate is over; delivery execution is the rerating variable. Production slots look booked through 2028, we model about 2.7GW of YE27 manufacturing capacity and 2.2GW of 2027 deliveries against 2.0GW consensus, and forward EV/EBITDA has already reset from about 85x to 42x after the July shorts.
Enterprise AI Vol.2 — spend is still growing, but the increment is in production workflows and ROI is gated by hours saved. A second set of seven enterprises independently corroborated Vol.1: seats are maturing, APIs and production workflows take the increment, and scattered 5-10% time savings do not cut cost until effort on a class of work falls by about 30%.
Premium Report Snapshot
Below is a snapshot of what Premium subscribers received this week beyond the Substack feed.
Review | CRDO FY27Q1: Record Quarterly Revenue, Q2 Guide Above Street; Optics Ramp 2H
Review | PANW FY26Q4: Organic Growth Modest Re-Accel, but vs Raised Buy-Side Bar Not a Clean Beat
Deep | Delta Electronics ( 2H26 Re-Acceleration; VPD Overlooked
Weekly Expert Interviews Summary
A snapshot of the expert interviews we conducted during the past week is below; full transcripts and takeaways are available on the FUNDA platform.
MongoDB — AI Production Scaling and Agentic Usage Growth (MDB, SNOW, GOOGL)
Marvell — DSP Competitiveness and Optical-Engine Scale Bottlenecks (MRVL, AVGO, NVDA, SMTC)
NVIDIA — Co-Packaged Optics Ramp and Supply Bottlenecks (NVDA, LITE, TSM)
AWS — Track-Optimized Networking and Active Cables (AMZN, CRDO, NVDA)
AI Data Centers — Gas Turbine Supply Constraints and Service Economics
Palo Alto — Platform Consolidation and Growth Acceleration (PANW, CYBR)
Zurich Insurance — Enterprise AI Spend and Adoption Economics (MSFT, GOOGL)
Top Logistic Firm — Governance-Driven AI Spend Expansion (MSFT)
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Research|Cybersecurity: When AI Becomes the Hacker; Anthropic and OpenAI's Call to Slow Down Favors Security Platforms and Identity Vendors
AI safety gap: Dario Amodei’s September 12 essay and Sam Altman’s public agreement signal that AI model capability is moving faster than lab safety engineering. The July 2026 OpenAI-Hugging Face incident involved roughly 1,200 agents, more than 70,000 messages and files, 8–9 zero-days, and about one-third of Hugging Face infrastructure needing rebuild.
Security demand shift: The report highlights five urgent needs: runtime monitoring, non-human identity governance, layered isolation, software supply chain and vulnerability management, and tamper-resistant logs. Anthropic’s own review of 141,006 evaluation runs found real-world spillover incidents, including a malicious PyPI package downloaded by 15 real systems within an hour and a model scanning roughly 9,000 online targets.
Public market beneficiaries: Security platforms PANW, CRWD, and S are best positioned because AI-speed attacks require correlation across endpoint, cloud, identity, network, and logs. Identity vendors OKTA and SAIL benefit from agent identity governance, while NET, AKAM, and FSLY gain from demand for WAF, bot management, and API security.
Investment implications: CrowdStrike reported record net new ARR of $333m in FY27Q2 and raised the midpoint of full-year net new ARR growth guidance to 34%, with CEO George Kurtz linking demand to Mythos and the OpenAI incident. Potential pressure points include FROG after Artifactory was named in the attack chain, free or bundled security tools, and standalone AI security startups facing platform consolidation.
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EARNINGS CALENDAR: NEXT 30 DAYS
261 companies report from October 20 through November 13, 2026.
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation)
• VICR (Vicor Corporation)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• NFLX (Netflix, Inc.)
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 21, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.)
• PM (Philip Morris International Inc.)
• TDY (Teledyne Technologies Incorporated)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• HXL (Hexcel Corporation)
• IBM (International Business Machines Corporation)
• LRCX (Lam Research Corporation)
• META (Meta Platforms, Inc.)
• SAP (SAP SE)
• TSLA (Tesla, Inc.)
• TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated)
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• BX (Blackstone)
• CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation)
• DTE (DTE Energy Company)
• EME (EMCOR Group, Inc.)
• FIX (Comfort Systems USA, Inc.)
• LMT (Lockheed Martin Corporation)
• NBIS (Nebius Group N.V.)
• NOK (Nokia Corporation)
• PCG (PG&E Corporation)
• SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.)
• VLO (Valero Energy Corporation)
• WKC (World Kinect Corporation)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• BE (Bloom Energy Corporation)
• MXL (MaxLinear, Inc.)
• VRSN (VeriSign, Inc.)
• WDC (Western Digital Corporation)
TIME NOT SET
• TTMI (TTM Technologies, Inc.)
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• INFY (Infosys)
• NVT (nVent Electric plc)
• XOM (ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation)
MONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2026
AFTER THE CLOSE
• AMKR (Amkor Technology, Inc.)
• CDNS (Cadence Design Systems, Inc.)
• CLS (Celestica Inc.)
• RMBS (Rambus Inc.)
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• CMS (CMS Energy Corporation)
• CNP (CenterPoint Energy, Inc.)
• GLW (Corning Incorporated)
• GLXY (Galaxy Digital Inc.)
• GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.)
• HUBB (Hubbell Incorporated)
• SKHY (SK Hynix Inc)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• ASMIY (ASM International NV)
• EQT (EQT Corporation)
• FE (FirstEnergy Corp.)
• FFIV (F5, Inc.)
• HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.)
• NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.)
• RBBN (Ribbon Communications Inc.)
• STX (Seagate Technology Holdings plc)
• TER (Teradyne, Inc.)
• UCTT (Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.)
• V (Visa)
TIME NOT SET
• FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.)
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• AEP (American Electric Power Company, Inc.)
• APH (Amphenol Corporation)
• DINO (HF Sinclair Corporation)
• EXTR (Extreme Networks, Inc.)
• FTV (Fortive Corporation)
• KLAC (KLA Corporation)
• MYRG (MYR Group Inc.)
• PSX (Phillips 66)
• TEL (TE Connectivity plc)
• UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation)
• VRT (Vertiv Holdings Co)
• WOLF (Wolfspeed, Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• AWK (American Water Works Company, Inc.)
• EBAY (eBay Inc.)
• EQIX (Equinix, Inc.)
• FORM (FormFactor, Inc.)
• MSFT (Microsoft Corporation)
• NOW (ServiceNow, Inc.)
• OLED (Universal Display Corporation)
• SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corporation)
TIME NOT SET
• ACMR (ACM Research, Inc.)
• FLEX (Flex Ltd.)
• GEV (GE Vernova Inc.)
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• AES (The AES Corporation)
• ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.)
• AMZN ( Inc.)
• ASX (ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.)
• BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation)
• CARR (Carrier Global Corporation)
• COHU (Cohu, Inc.)
• COIN (Coinbase Global, Inc.)
• CTSH (Cognizant Technology Solutions)
• ENTG (Entegris, Inc.)
• GSAT (Globalstar, Inc.)
• IEP (Icahn Enterprises L.P.)
• KTOS (Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.)
• MA (Mastercard)
• MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporated)
• ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.)
• PBF (PBF Energy Inc.)
• PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd.)
• PPL (PPL Corporation)
• PWR (Quanta Services, Inc.)
• RKT (Rocket Companies, Inc.)
• SILC (Silicom Ltd.)
• STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.)
• SWKS (Skyworks Solutions, Inc.)
• VISN (Vistance Networks, Inc.)
• WCC (WESCO International, Inc.)
• XEL (Xcel Energy Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• AXTI (AXT, Inc.)
• DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.)
• DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.)
• EIX (Edison International)
• FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.)
• INTC (Intel Corporation)
• LNT (Alliant Energy Corporation)
• MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.)
• MSTR (Strategy Inc.)
• SNDK (Sandisk Corporation)
TIME NOT SET
• TECK (Teck Resources Limited)
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• BP (BP PLC)
• CVX (Chevron Corporation)
• EXC (Exelon Corporation)
• SRE (Sempra)
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• BRK/A (Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (Class A))
• CVI (CVR Energy, Inc.)
• ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation)
• PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated)
• TSEM (Tower Semiconductor Ltd.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• AAPL (Apple Inc.)
• BWXT (BWX Technologies, Inc.)
• ICHR (Ichor Holdings, Ltd.)
• LSCC (Lattice Semiconductor Corporation)
• PLTR (Palantir Technologies Inc.)
• WMB (The Williams Companies, Inc.)
TIME NOT SET
• AEHR (Aehr Test Systems)
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 3, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.)
• AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.)
• AME (AMETEK, Inc.)
• APO (Apollo Global Management, Inc.)
• ETN (Eaton Corporation plc)
• IPGP (IPG Photonics Corporation)
• LFUS (Littelfuse, Inc.)
• MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation)
• NLST (Netlist, Inc.)
• SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.)
• WEC (WEC Energy Group, Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.)
• AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.)
• ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.)
• NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor Corporation)
• PARR (Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.)
TIME NOT SET
• PNW (Pinnacle West Capital Corporation)
• SUN (Sunoco LP)
• TLN (Talen Energy Corporation)
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• ACLS (Axcelis Technologies, Inc.)
• CAT (Caterpillar Inc.)
• DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.)
• ETR (Entergy Corporation)
• GFS (GlobalFoundries Inc.)
• GNRC (Generac Holdings Inc.)
• HUT (Hut 8 Corp.)
• MELI (MercadoLibre, Inc.)
• NI (NiSource Inc.)
• Q (Qnity Electronics, Inc.)
• RDDT (Reddit, Inc.)
• SHAZ (SharonAI Holdings, Inc.)
• UBER (Uber Technologies, Inc.)
• VPG (Vishay Precision Group, Inc.)
• VSH (Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.)
• VVV (Valvoline Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• APP (AppLovin Corporation)
• ARM (Arm Holdings plc)
• ATO (Atmos Energy Corporation)
• DASH (DoorDash, Inc.)
• EMR (Emerson Electric Co.)
• MKSI (MKS Inc.)
• ORA (Ormat Technologies, Inc.)
• SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.)
• SITM (SiTime Corporation)
• VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.)
TIME NOT SET
• CRCL (Circle Internet Group, Inc.)
• RAL (Ralliant Corporation)
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.)
• AMTX (Aemetis, Inc.)
• CMI (Cummins Inc.)
• CNR (Core Natural Resources, Inc.)
• DCO (Ducommun Incorporated)
• DDOG (Datadog, Inc.)
• DIOD (Diodes Incorporated)
• DUK (Duke Energy Corporation)
• EVRG (Evergy, Inc.)
• FWONA (Liberty Media Corporation (Series A))
• INOD (Innodata Inc.)
• MTSI (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.)
• NRG (NRG Energy, Inc.)
• NVMI (Nova Ltd.)
• PDFS (PDF Solutions, Inc.)
• SO (The Southern Company)
• SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.)
• SYNA (Synaptics Incorporated)
• TRGP (Targa Resources Corp.)
• TTD (The Trade Desk, Inc.)
• WIX ( Ltd.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• AKAM (Akamai Technologies, Inc.)
• AOSL (Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited)
• ATEN (A10 Networks, Inc.)
• CLNE (Clean Energy Fuels Corp.)
• ED (Consolidated Edison, Inc.)
• EOG (EOG Resources, Inc.)
• LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.)
• NET (Cloudflare, Inc.)
• PSIX (Power Solutions International, Inc.)
• WLDN (Willdan Group, Inc.)
TIME NOT SET
• HIMX (Himax Technologies, Inc.)
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 6, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• ALMU (Aeluma, Inc.)
• CLMT (Calumet, Inc.)
• VST (Vistra Corp.)
TIME NOT SET
• WULF (TeraWulf Inc.)
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• CAPL (CrossAmerica Partners LP)
• CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation)
• CENX (Century Aluminum Company)
• DOCN (DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.)
• FN (Fabrinet)
• KKR (KKR & Co. Inc.)
• SANM (Sanmina Corporation)
• STRL (Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.)
• VECO (Veeco Instruments Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• HIMS (Hims & Hers Health, Inc.)
TIME NOT SET
• VG (Venture Global, Inc.)
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• AIP (Arteris, Inc.)
• AXON (Axon Enterprise, Inc.)
• RIOT (Riot Platforms, Inc.)
• TEM (Tempus AI, Inc.)
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• AEE (Ameren Corporation)
• AEVA (Aeva Technologies, Inc.)
• ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd)
• CIFR (Cipher Digital Inc.)
• COHR (Coherent Corp.)
• CORZ (Core Scientific, Inc.)
• DK (Delek US Holdings, Inc.)
• DKL (Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.)
• ECHO (EchoStar Corporation)
• ENS (EnerSys)
• KGS (Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.)
• LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.)
• MARA (MARA Holdings, Inc.)
• POWI (Power Integrations, Inc.)
• QCOM (QUALCOMM Incorporated)
• SKM (SK Telecom Co., Ltd.)
• SU (Suncor Energy Inc (Canada))
• TE (T1 Energy Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• UGP (Ultrapar Participacoes SA)
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 12, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• BTBT (Bit Digital, Inc.)
• FRMI (Fermi Inc.)
• PANW (Palo Alto Networks)
• POET (POET Technologies Inc.)
• SBET (Sharplink, Inc.)
• SLNH (Soluna Holdings, Inc.)
• WYFI (WhiteFiber, Inc.)
AFTER THE CLOSE
• AMAT (Applied Materials, Inc.)
TIME NOT SET
• BDCO (Blue Dolphin Energy Company)
• TRT (Trio-Tech International)
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2026
BEFORE THE OPEN
• MOVE (Corvex, Inc.)
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