my prediction on the photonics/laser stuff is, there will be more and more SiPho as we add more lanes and need better mux/demux, TFLN is not gonna win for 400G per lane although you hear it a lot, as some folks already made it working on SiPho and the TFLN price and volume won't be even close to beating SiPho. DSP will be dominated by broadcom and then marvell for a long time, but SiPho is just so much easier to design and make, and the Chinese companies will be taping out most of the SiPho chips and making all the way to various engines and modules. Laser moat of the US companies won't last long, it's not that complicated, and more similar to e.g. battery optimization than complex digital circuit design, and Chinese companies already make most of the andriod and lidar vcsel chips, some of them pretty high power and spec. They control most of In and InP production as well. US laser companies will have to and are already building InP fabs in SEA, theres no In or In purification in the US. If I know more chemistry, I would start an ITO recycling company now.

What an insane day for photonics. $SIVE up 31.3% $TSEM up 23.1% $AAOI 20.01%. It feels like a lot… but this just means you’re early to the next supercycle and there’s a lot of room to go. Lot of people on X ask what’s next after $SNDK? Here they are.

🔥 Amid reports that #Foxconn# may have accelerated #CPO# rack deliveries to #NVIDIA#, the company said at its earnings call that silicon photonics CPO switches remain on track for Q3 mass production, with 2026 shipments expected to hit 10,000 units.💡More: 🔗

50 trending stocks, in 5 words or less: $AAOI 800G transceivers through 2027 $ADEA patent licensing royalty machine $AEHR silicon carbide test monopoly $AEVA 4D FMCW lidar patents $ARBE 4D imaging radar leader $ATOM MST semi enhancement IP $BRUN GPU cloud infrastructure scale $COHR photonics wiring every AI cluster $DERM dermatology specialty pharma $DOCN developer cloud with GPUs $ENVX silicon battery patent fortress $FLNC grid storage contracted backlog $FNGR China mobile data niche $GFS US trailing edge foundry $GNLX oncolytic virus immunotherapy $GSIT APU compute for defense $INDI automotive radar/vision semis $IQE compound semi wafer specialist $JOBY eVTOL certification leader $KDK autonomous trucking Kodiak Driver $KULR thermal management for batteries $LASR defense grade fiber lasers $LCID Saudi backed luxury EV $LPK German precision laser systems $LSCC low power FPGA edge $LUNR only public lunar lander $LWLG electro-optic polymer $MBLY vision and ADAS leader $MRAM non-volatile MRAM niche $MRVL custom AI silicon ASICs $NOK 5G optical patent portfolio $ONDS private wireless drone networks $OPEN iBuyer scale real estate $POET silicon photonics interposer tech $PSNL cancer MRD genomics testing $QUIK embedded FPGA for defense $RR service robotics for hospitality $SABS human antibody therapy platform $SERV sidewalk delivery robot fleet $SLNH behind the meter power $SLS cancer immunotherapy pipeline $SOUN voice AI for enterprise $SYM Walmart warehouse automation $TDIC IP event AI pivot $TGEN distributed natural gas power $VELO aerospace metal 3D printing $VLN in-car connectivity chipset $VPG precision sensors for robotics $VNET China AI data centers $WOLF silicon carbide power restructure Which tickers do you want me to chart? Gonna have to update this daily! 🫡📈

People wonder why I'm focusing on non-US markets recently. Why? CPO is my #1# thematic long. Markets don't know yet, the sudden paradigm shift in photonics... I was one of the only to frontrun the current supercycle in 2025 w/ $AAOI @ ~$30, $LITE ~$300s, and $AXTI at ~$13 on X.... With the actual receipts and thesis that others can't show. CPO goes from ~$0. To $91 Billion TAM opportunity. In the next 1 1/2 years from GS research. While overall optical market reaches $154B. Many players that had little exposure to the current photonics cycle at all: -> In Europe with high-end lasers design like $SIVE or $SOI with substrates. -> In Taiwan with Foci (3363), Nextronics (8147), Shunsin (6451) and others for optical components and foundries. -> In Japan with laser mass production, substrates, and chemicals. Are suddenly the new dominant players for CPO. As for US players, there's not much exposure. But the existing ones like $LITE, $COHR still get upside from CPO as that's their new growth vector. My contrarian thought process on current players: Is that most of their valuation is priced in huge legacy pluggable revenue that will inevitably face cannibalization over time, so re-rating potential is less unless someone uses leverage. A lot of these new purer play CPO names go from 0 to 100 extremely quickly one mass production starts H2 2026 for scale out (as a revenue bridge) into H2 2027 for scale up (massive growth driver). Markets usually price things in 8-12 months ahead of time too... I have high conviction thematically in my supply chain research despite any market volatility leading up until then.

1,000+ tradable stocks & ETFs on StableStock. And counting… Today's newly added names are now live — here are 6 highlights from a much longer list. - First Trust Smart Grid ETF ($GRID) Smart grid and power infrastructure exposure — a direct beneficiary of AI datacenter buildout and the global energy transition. - Corgi Lithography & Semiconductor Photonics ETF ($EUV) The "light" layer of semiconductor manufacturing — EUV lithography and photonics, the chokepoint behind every advanced chip. - Strategy Variable Rate Perpetual Stretch Preferred ($STRC) Floating-rate perpetual preferred from Strategy — bond-like cash flow with equity-side optionality. - RoboStrategy ($BOT) Newly listed Nasdaq closed-end fund — concentrated bet on robotics, automation, and AI. - 2X Long ORCL Daily ETF ($ORCU) 2x daily leveraged exposure to Oracle — the database giant turning AI infrastructure provider. - 2X Short SNDK Daily ETF ($SNDQ) 2x daily inverse exposure to Sandisk — short the memory cycle with one ticker. From AI-driven grid infrastructure to EUV lithography, from perpetual preferreds to leveraged AI plays, from Oracle long to Sandisk short — and many more newly listed names. Trade them all with stablecoins on StableStock.

This $AXTI / InP substrate export controls is EXACTLY why: Trump's America 1st policies should focus around securing its supply chains over in EU/Japan/KR. And weaponizing it against China. US alone has leverage, but everyone together has extreme leverage. If you use Japan to cut off China's humanoid program / upstream chemicals and leverage EU to cut off China's photonics program: They'll bend for substrates and rare earths. You literally need to break their frontier industry development over yields or actually manufacturing the components. Not just threaten 40% tariffs to stop them from shipping cheap goods.

Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F finally dropped and X is already full of the DUMBEST interpretations possible! Please read this. 1. The 13F shows what the fund held as of quarter-end: March 31. 2. A huge part of the positions are PUTS. Does this mean he's bearish today? -> WE DON'T KNOW! Everyone is just guessing. It is completely possible that he bought those puts during the quarter as the Iran war escalated, to hedge, and they increased a ton in value. They might have started as small positions that simply grew a lot. He might have sold them at the exact bottom, perfectly timed the market, and gone 100% long for the massive rally that started on April 1. OR he was insanely bearish, bought a lot of puts, kept them, and completely screwed up by being massively positioned in puts before the craziest rally ever. He could have made the most genius move or the dumbest move possible and now look like an idiot. WE DON'T KNOW. This is the issue with such delayed reports. But of course today, you will see everyone on X go crazy with: "Leopold went short aaaaaaaaaaah, the sky is falling, he's calling for a crash." But that was months ago, in the middle of the Iran volatility! We have no idea if he added to his puts or if he's currently 100% long or maybe even bought calls?! We don't know if his move was good or bad. So while you're reading all these takes on X today, know that you're going to read a ton of complete nonsense from people who have no idea what they're talking about. But here are some things that stand out to me! While he decreased his $BE exposure, Bloom Energy was still his biggest position (6.4%) Closely followed by $SNDK (5.3%) He also cut $CRWV from 8% -> 4% I honestly can't believe he missed $NBIS so badly. He also reduced his $IREN position from 6% to 3% (even though he net added shares). Big $CORZ cut aswell from 7.6% -> 3% HUGE cut in his $CRWV calls from 14% -> 1% A lot of $TE investors are getting excited he built a position, which is definitely bullish, but it's worth mentioning that was most likely before the big drop after the disappointing earnings and it's a tiny 0.3% position for him. One of the funniest positions is a 0.15% $GLW Put lol. 100% / Completely went out of: $INTC Calls (13.5% -> 0%) $CIFR (2.8% -> 0%) $EQT (2.4% -> 0%) Photonics: $LITE (8.6% -> 0%) That one is super interesting to me. Also cut $TSEM and $COHR from 1.5% -> 0%

$SIVE 2025 annual report analysis. TLDR: Extremely Bullish. Sivers main growth vector is CPO, but they've TAM expansioned to pluggable transcivers + multiple new qualifications/development. 1. "We are currently seeing great interest... testing our DFB lasers across multiple manufacturers in pluggable transceivers" For pluggable angle, we've seen this with $JBL 1.6T LRO already, but annual report hinted they're developing/qualifying with more hyperscaler suppliers. "Our serviceable markets have now been expanded to include pluggable optical interconnects as well as scale-up and scale-out architectures for co-packaged" (TAM expansion) 2. "Discussions with hyperscalers and pluggable transceiver suppliers indicate a shortage of CW lasers in the coming years" $LITE already signaled CW laser bottlenecks, and they had to buy externally from competitors. So we kinda guessed CW Laser was a bottleneck. And this confirmed it, so was wondering about Win semi. "The partnership announced with high-volume supplier Win Semiconductor in March 2025 now gives us a strong position to meet growing demand" $SIVE likely has capacity locked in with Win from this nuance, which is exactly what I wanted to know. This positions Sivers in the CW laser as both a bottleneck and CPO laser architectural leader. VOLUME PRODUCTION H2 INDICATIONS (BULLISH): 3. "The collaboration positions both companies to address the rapidly growing market for optical AI connectivity, with prototypes to be demonstrated to customers during the first half of 2026 and with the goal of scaling up production by the end of 2026" H1 is more preproduction, H2 production signaled starting with names like $POET. 4. "We are pleased that our largest LIDAR customer will increase production starting in the fourth quarter of 2026" $AEVA start of volume production Q4 with $SIVE = bullish for both. Revenue floor from LIDAR as their CPO scales. 5. Sivers announced a partnership with LIGHTIUM AG to integrate their CW lasers directly onto TFLN wafers. 3.2T+ cycle. (future proofing) FYI no decent investor cares about last year's 2025 financials from development contracts aside from Swedish Media/Locals. Especially when you're forward looking for the 2027-2028 CPO supercycle. But the hint from you can take away from financials + geography that is $NOK is now the high confidence customer of $SIVE. TLDR: -> Win Semi implied capacity lock in during CW laser bottleneck -> Hints of new group of hyperscaler suppliers testing/qualification for pluggable transcivers, which is massive TAM expansion. -> New customers for CW lasers -> Volume production scaling starting H2 for both photonics and lidar.